Ezekiel Elliott looks ahead to leading Cowboys while looking back to fix fumbles

The star RB has taken it upon himself to lead his team without Dak Prescott around, but he’s leading his own troubleshooting efforts, too.

A defense. An offensive line. Their starting quarterback. Confidence in their coaching staff. An identity. The 2020 Dallas Cowboys are lacking a lot of things at the moment, but after the thorough whooping they took on national television Monday night in their own house, perhaps none of the team’s deficiencies is more immediately troubling right now than that of an obvious leader.

With Dak Prescott lost for the season, who is the Cowboys’ on-the-field leader? The mantle may well fall to Ezekiel Elliott, despite the fact that the star running back is dealing with his own personal issues. With four lost fumbles already on the season, Elliott is having a hard time holding on to the football. But he may now be the one responsible for holding together the entire football team as they navigate some rough waters.

The five-year veteran was asked Wednesday if he feels the need to take on more of a pronounced leadership role with No. 4 on the rehab trail.

“I think I do. I think I do need to, just because Dak, he carried so much of that role. And that has to be filled. So I think I do.”

And it starts, Elliott says, by being more vocal when the team is struggling.

“I think you have to,” Elliot said, per the Cowboys website. “I think you have to lock in a little bit more because, obviously, what you’ve been doing hasn’t been getting it done. You need to exhaust all resources trying to get this thing back on track. So that’s what we’re doing. We’re exhausting all of our resources and we’re doing everything we can to get this thing back on track.”

The voice of veteran leadership is seemingly in short supply in Dallas, given the absurd number of injuries that have taken the team’s most experienced players off the field. Gerald McCoy never made it past the first week of practice. Tyron Smith and La’el Collins are gone. Zack Martin is in concussion protocol. On the defensive side, Sean Lee has yet to suit up in 2020. Leighton Vander Esch broke a collarbone. It’s difficult to lead the troops from the trainer’s table.

If Prescott’s injury had happened in 2019, one could argue Jason Witten or Travis Frederick would have become the Cowboys’ de facto leader. Heck, Michael Bennett felt the need last Thanksgiving to try to get the locker room right after being in town for only a month.

Amari Cooper is surgically smart, but awfully soft-spoken. Aldon Smith is still getting re-acclimated to life in the league. Andy Dalton has been there, done that… but is also too new to start lighting guys up around the Cowboys facility. Linebacker Jaylon Smith says all the right things in interviews, but his answers to reporters’ questions often come across as empty, eye-rolling soundbites. Getting spotlighted by analysts for poor play- jogging after the ball carrier in critical moments and taking atrocious pursuit angles- doesn’t exactly help earn leadership points.

Therein lies the dilemma for Elliott. He’d be the natural choice to automatically assume the primary leadership role in the current climate… except for those glaring fumbles that are contributing mightily to the deep holes the Cowboys are finding themselves in most weeks. Elliott got benched during Monday Night Football; now he’s supposed to stand up and set the example?

Well, yes.

He started by accepting full blame for the 38-10 drubbing. Then the two-time rushing champ set out to personally fix his fumbling problem.

“Honestly,” Elliott shared, “what I did is, [over the] past couple days, I went and got cutups of all my fumbles ever, and looked at them and looked at what I did wrong and what I could’ve done better. That’s what I’ve been doing this week, just kind of studying my fumbles and seeing where things went wrong and what I can do to keep that ball tighter and have better ball security.”

Exactly what Elliott found in those tapes- reportedly dating all the way back to high school- he says is for him to know and learn from… and for opposing defenses to hopefully not find out.

“If you want, you should just turn it on and go find out. I don’t want to give away all my weaknesses right here,” Elliott joked before continuing. “I just need to not put myself in vulnerable situations. I’ve just got to lock in and focus. I don’t think there’s a specific answer. All I can do is watch as much film as I can, gather as much information as I can, and try to use that to help me. But I don’t think there’s an exact answer on how to fix these fumbling problems I’ve had this year.”

Cowboys Nation may be suddenly panicking about Elliott’s recent case of fumblitis, but his head coach says that to judge the All-Pro based on a handful of negative plays paints an incomplete picture.

“I think we all recognize, Zeke’s played a tremendous amount of football,” McCarthy told the media on Wednesday. “He’s been carrying the football, probably, his whole life. So his instinct and awareness, I would definitely classify him as very high in that category of all the running backs I’ve been around in my career. But I think what’s most important- of this tough moment we’re going through with our turnover ratio- is to recognize the importance he places on himself. I get to see Zeke every day. I get to see Zeke in the front row of the team meeting, I see Zeke in the front row of the quarterback-center meeting this morning, his conversation to the team after the game.”

After the Arizona loss, Elliott sucked it up and vowed to his teammates that he will break his turnover habit.

“I just wanted to let them know how terrible I felt, just from my performance,” Elliott explained. “And that I’m supposed to be a guy that this team and this offense can rely on and lean on when things get rough, and I just wasn’t that last Monday night. [I told them] That I was sorry, and I promise I’m going to turn things around for this team.”

Elliott was the focal point of the Week 6 offensive attack before his back-to-back fumbles altered the plan. If Elliott can, in fact, make ball security a non-question moving forward, it will allow Kellen Moore the option of using the whole playbook instead of having to rely on the playing-from-way-behind chapters.

The Cowboys will try once again to put that theory to the test Sunday in Washington.

“We’re going to get this thing right. We are trying to figure out what we’ve got to do. We’ve got to come together. We are going to surround each other. We are going to support each other. We’ve got a big game this week, a division game on the road. We’ve got to go figure out how to get a win.”

Spoken like a true leader. Whether the Cowboys follow, though, remains to be seen.

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Elliott blames fumbles for disastrous Cowboys loss: ‘I need to figure it out’

The two-time rushing champ turned the ball over on consecutive carries Monday night as ball security continues to be an issue in Dallas.

Ezekiel Elliott was clearly the centerpiece of the Cowboys’ offensive game plan going in to Monday night’s game against Arizona. Of the team’s first fifteen offensive plays, Elliott’s number was called ten times.

But when he fumbled the ball away on touches No. 9 and 10, turnovers that directly resulted in two Cardinals touchdowns, the game plan had to change.

After the humiliating 38-10 home loss, the running back placed the blame squarely on his own shoulders.

“I’m supposed to be a guy this team can rely on,” Elliott told reporters on a postgame conference call. “I’m supposed to be a guy that this team can lean on when times get rough. I just wasn’t that today. I got off to a terrible start; defense was playing well. But I killed our momentum. Two fumbles? I can’t do that. I can’t.”

After his second fumble, Elliott found himself on the bench. For several plays on the team’s next offensive series, he watched Tony Pollard take his spot in the backfield as Dallas tried in vain to pull themselves out of yet another deep hole. The three-time Pro Bowler says the coaching staff was fully justified in pulling him.

“I’m giving the ball away. I can’t. I wasn’t helping the team,” Elliott explained. “They did the right thing and gave some of those reps to TP. I can’t do that. I have to be a guy this team can lean on, especially in the times right now with so many of our starters hurt and not playing. It’s not acceptable, and I need to figure it out.”

Elliott ended the game with 49 rushing yards on just 12 carries as offensive coordinator Kellen Moore was forced to shift to a pass-heavy approach as the Cowboys attempted to play catch-up.

Quarterback Andy Dalton was making his first start in place of Dak Prescott, but for the veteran backup, it was same song, different verse.

“We’re hurting ourselves with the turnovers,” Dalton told the press after the game. “We’ve got to get this fixed. It’s been the trend this year, especially early in games. That’s affected how we’ve been able to play. We haven’t been able to run our full offense, run it how it should be run just because we’re getting down in these games because we are turning the ball over.

“The ball’s the most important thing. We can’t be handing it to the other team.”

Dalton was responsible for two turnovers as well, tossing two interceptions Monday night in a comeback effort.

As for Elliott’s latest ball security issues- he has lost four fumbles already in 2020, more than he had during all of last season- the two-time rushing champ can’t put his finger on what’s wrong with his grip lately.

“Um… honestly, I can’t… I can’t really… even… I don’t know why. I’ve just got to focus up. I’ve got to be better with it.”

Also at a total loss regarding turnovers is head coach Mike McCarthy. The Cowboys have given the ball away over a league-worst 15 times through six games.

“It’s something that we work diligently on. It’s not carrying over to the game. That’s something we have to continue to stay after,” McCarthy offered in his postgame remarks. “Maybe we’re trying too hard, or maybe we’re overcoaching it. It clearly has put us in a position [where] we’ve been playing uphill every single game. We haven’t got into a groove or a rhythm and got out in front yet this year. It’s self-inflicted wounds that continue to plague us. We’ve got work to do, and we’ve got to do it fast because we’ve got Washington coming on us quickly.”

Elliott is also looking ahead, eager to get back to work with a short week of practice that will no doubt focus on ball security.

“I’ve just got to have a short memory. I’ve got to get that behind me and get play some good ball, get on a roll.”

But he expects that Washington’s defense will smell blood in the water and be looking to strip Elliott at every opportunity.

“When you’re fumbling every game, obviously teams are going to lock in on it and they’re going to go for it more. That’s just more reason for me; I need to figure it out.”

If Elliott does not figure it out and puts the ball on the ground again in Week 7, he could easily find himself on the sidelines once again. McCarthy made it clear that Elliott’s status as the default leader of the team with Prescott gone doesn’t afford him any extra leeway when it comes to fumbles.

“Every player that plays in this league- no different on our football team- if you don’t take care of the football, it obviously does affect your opportunities,” McCarthy said. “At the end of the day, Zeke is our bell cow, and we need to get it right. He’s part of the plan. He’s going to be part of our success. We have to get it right; we have to take care of the football. That’s for everybody that touches the football on our team.”

Dalton has faith that Elliott will rectify his fumbling problem.

“You never want to turn over the ball. For him, he understands that. He knows that. Zeke’s going to get this thing fixed.”

Elliott says he’s ready to getting back into the lab to do just that.

“I want to say I’m sorry. This one’s on me. And I need to be better for this  team.”

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Ezekiel Elliott talks confidence in Dalton, says Prescott ‘in good spirits’

Ezekiel Elliott is playing without Dak Prescott for the first time in his NFL career. Here Elliott’s thoughts on Dak, Andy Dalton, and more.

Few people have taken the devastating Dak Prescott injury as grimly as his best friend and teammate, Ezekiel Elliott. Since they were drafted in 2016, Prescott and Elliott have been inseparable off the field, and one of the NFL’s most dynamic duo’s on the field.

Following Prescott’s devastating injury last Sunday against the Giants, Elliott spoke to the media this week about what it’s like practicing without their leader, and what his expectations are for the offense now led by veteran Andy Dalton.

Elliott touched on the importance of keeping in contact with Prescott through these tough times, saying,

“Right now we’re dealing with COVID, and were already isolated as it is. For him [Prescott] to have that horrific injury, and for him to be out of his normal routine, unable to leave the house and come see us, and now he cant really even move around with the ankle. I just think it’s important that we all surround him, show him plenty of love, and I think it’s important that we continue to involve him.”

Cowboys Nation has done just that, surrounded Prescott and let him know the love they have for their franchise quarterback. Prescott seems to be handling his own circumstances better than the majority of Cowboys fans, as he released a video thanking his supports for the well wishes. 

Elliott has already been to see his friend every day since the injury, and reassured to everyone that Prescott is handling this well.

“I’ve been going by and seeing him everyday. I’m going to go by and see him as much as I can, if that’s everyday, then I’ll go over there everyday. He seems like he’s in very good spirits, a little bit of pain, a little loopy, but he’s definitely in good spirits.”

The team has been able to remain focused on the goal, beating the Arizona Cardinals Monday night. Prescott touched on the practice week so far, stating,

“It’s been good. Just locking in, focusing in, and getting ready for these Cardinals. I know for him [Prescott]  it’s going to be hard watching that game from home, and I think the best way to make him feel better is by winning, so we have to go out there and win for him.”

Usually when a team loses a quarterback the caliber of Prescott the season, at least offensively, is sunk. The Cowboys, however, made former Bengals’ quarterback, Andy Dalton, a priority in the offseason, and it appears the investment was worth while for Dallas.

Dalton took over the reigns halfway through the third quarter last Sunday vs New York, and helped Dallas cap off a touchdown drive. Late in the game Dalton would lead Dallas down the field for the game winning field goal, thanks in part to Michael Gallup who made two spectacular catches.

“Dak definitely is special. He definitely is special, but I think we have a lot of pieces in this offense and Andy’s played at a high level in this league. I think we should still be one of the best offenses in the league.”

Elliott’s praise for Dalton would continue,

“Andy’s a great guy. He’s a veteran. He knows a lot about this game. He’s played a lot of snaps, thrown for a lot of yards, he’s scored a lot of touchdowns. He’s confident in there, and I think he’s going to do good for us.”

“We just have to go out there and be ourselves. We have plenty of talent on this team, and Andy is plenty talented himself. Like I said, he’s been a started in this league, he could be a starter on other teams. So I don’t think anyone has to press, I don’t think anyone has to do anything out of the ordinary. I think we just have to be ourselves, go out there and have fun, and play our football.”

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Many analysts believe this insertion of Dalton into the Cowboys lineup will lead the Cowboys to a more ground-based attack, like we saw early in Elliott’s career. The All-Pro back made it clear how the team wants to play moving forward as he stated,

“I think we want to be balanced anyway. We’ve been more pass heavy this year just because we have gotten behind in a lot of games so we have had to throw the ball that much, but I think we want to be a balanced team.”

Elliott and company look to win back-to back-games for the first time all season when Arizona comes to Dallas for a Monday night showdown. An injury like Prescott’s can sometimes rally a team, and cause everyone in the building to step their game up a notch.

It will be interesting to see how the Cowboys offense adjusts to a new signal caller, but it’s clear that the Cowboys believe they can still win any game with Andy Dalton under center.

The full interview with Ezekiel Elliott can be found below.


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High Impact: Ezekiel Elliott still foundational to Cowboys’ offense

Feed Zeke is gaining more evidence as the Cowboys have shifted to a pass-dominant philosophy in 2020.

The Dallas Cowboys did it again. There are two early themes to the Cowboys’ 2020 season, injuries and overcoming double-digit deficits. On Sunday, they dealt with both in a major way. Dallas fell behind the New York Giants 17-3 in the blink of an eye, came back, lost their starting QB for the year to fall behind again, and came back again.

The last-second victory brought the Cowboys record to 2-3. Despite the heart attacks and heart ache that seems to be the central theme of this season for the Cowboys, momentum-swinging plays continue to define things. In a bit of contradiction to this idea, homage has to be paid to the effort of Ezekiel Elliott for providing the non-chunk plays which set the pace.

Ending the game with two scores and 125 yards from scrimmage, once again when his team needed juice it was Elliott who steered the ship for the Cowboys.

Trailing 17-3 early in the second quarter, Dallas started with the ball at their own 25. To that point, Elliott — who no longer is the central focus of the club’s early-game plans — had three carries and two targets out of 16 non-kick snaps. His carries went for seven yards, his one catch was for 14 yards and the other target resulted in a pick-six when Prescott’s throw sailed over his head.

But just like the Week 2 home contest against Atlanta — incidentally the Cowboys only other win in 2020 — turning to Elliott is what got Dallas calmed down when their offensive world was spinning out of control.  In Week 2, Elliott’s fumbles were part of the malaise, but the team started out with two runs by Tony Pollard and was immediately out of sorts.

Trailing 20-0 at the end of the first quarter, the club turned to Elliott to settle down. On their first scoring drive of the game, the former first-round pick saw the rock on 7 of 11 snaps as the club methodically marched down the field.

  • Pass to Cooper for 11 yards
  • Elliott up the middle for 8 yards, plus defensive holding
  • Elliott right guard for 7 yards
  • Pass to Lamb for 9 yards (end of quarter)
  • Lamb right end for 9 yards
  • Shotgun run by Elliott for 10 yards
  • Pass to Elliott for -3 yards
  • Pass to Bell for 10 yards
  • Elliott for 7 yards (on 3rd and 3) injuring tackling player
  • Elliott for 1 yard
  • Elliott for 1 yard, Touchdown, injuring tackling player
(AP Photo/Ron Jenkins)

The Cowboys after going punt, fumble, fumble, turnover on downs, fumble then went on to score on their next four possessions and seven of their final eight drives.

On Sunday, Elliott saw the ball on 9 of the 14 plays when down 17-3.

  • Elliott off right tackle for 9 yards
  • Elliott up the middle for 5 yards
  • Pollard for 5 yards
  • Pass to Cedrick Wilson for 4 yards
  • Offside on Giants
  • Elliott right tackle for 3 yards
  • Elliott left guard for 8 yards
  • Pass to Wilson for 10 yards
  • Elliott right tackle 3 yards
  • Pass to Gallup 8 yards
  • Elliott right guard for 8 yards
  • Elliott left tackle for 1 yard
  • Pass to Wilson for 5 yards
  • Elliott for no gain
  • Elliott for 1-yard touchdown

15 snaps, one penalty and 9 touches for the workhorse back. That jumpstarted Dallas who finally got to Giants’ QB Daniel Jones the next drive and scored their first defensive touchdown of the season. They followed that up with another offensive score for three straight touchdowns and took control of the game.

(AP Photo/Ron Jenkins)

There’s no question Dallas is 100% right by becoming a pass-heavy team. There’s no question the Cowboys are more difficult to defend when they have diversity on early downs and skew towards the pass. However, there’s also no question their offensive identity for the last four years is in Elliott being the centerpiece and going away from that seems to have the offense in disarray over the first five games of the season.

In the games where the Cowboys have been able to start fast, or at least reasonably well, Elliott has been heavily involved from the outset. That includes the season opener against the Los Angeles Rams, where the teams were tied at 7 early in the second quarter, and Week 4 against the Cleveland Browns, where Dallas led 14-7 going into the second quarter.

In the small sample size of NFL seasons, five games is even more minuscule, but it certainly looks like the Cowboys are better off starting games when Elliott is involved, and he’s been the reason they’ve found their footing in the games they weren’t.

The game against the Seahawks in Week 3, Dallas started off with six straight passes, so even with Elliott getting adequate work on the drive with three touches, things still felt off from the jump.

Advanced metrics allow us to know so much more about what the proper decisions are in football. Expected Points Added, or EPA, is one of the leading indicators as it says on a play-by-play basis how much a decision contributes to the possibility of a score. It’s the foundation of the running-backs-don’t-matter movement, along with the obvious evidence that running backs more than wideouts and quarterbacks can be found at later points in the draft.

But we’ve long since argued Elliott is outside of those parameters for multiple reasons.

He is continuously among the best of his position, and clearly, the Cowboys offense centers around him.

This year, EPA seems to match the assessment. Passing will always dwarf rushing when it comes to EPA, but in looking at the Dallas offense compared to the rest of the league, they have comparatively been a better rushing team than passing.

Despite still being a net negative (-0.011) Dallas ranks eighth in the league in rushing EPA; they rank 19th in passing EPA (0.115) despite Prescott being on a record-setting passing-yard pace prior to his injury.

Despite Elliott’s three fumbles, the Cowboys run game has been highly productive.

Data science has claimed to prove that passing success is independent to having defenses need to respect an opposing running game. But when Dallas still relatively skewed run in 2019, the passing game EPA was through the roof. Now that the Cowboys skew pass heavily, the EPA has dropped and the run EPA is among the league best.

Again, small sample size may have a lot to do with it, but it’s certainly more than anecdotal the Cowboys in 2020 have fared better when Elliott is a focal point.

Feed Zeke.


Watch: Catch This Fade, S5E12

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WATCH: Elliott does his thing, calms down Cowboys and scores TD

Ezekiel Elliott scores a touchdown to bring the Dallas Cowboys within seven against the New York Giants in the second quarter.

It took a quarter and a half but the Dallas Cowboys offense has scored a touchdown on the back of running back Ezekiel Elliott, the one-yard run capping off a 14-play, 75 yard drive to cut the lead of the New York Giants to seven points.

The long drive was a sorely needed salve for a team that can’t stop shooting itself in the foot in the first quarter. After the first drive that nobody saw due to a CBS black out stalled deep in the red zone, the Dallas defense allowed a touchdown. And then quarterback Dak Prescott sailed a pass over the head of Elliott that resulted in a pick six.

Elliott already has 45 yards on the day but it’s taken him 12 carries to do so, leaving him with a less than stellar 3.8 yards per carry.

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Cowboys’ Ezekiel Elliott named 1 of 3 Week 4 captains vs Browns

The Dallas Cowboys workhorse, the engine of the train and the stir of the drink has been Ezekiel Elliott for the most part of his four-year career. The running back has had two rough games in a row, but the confidence in him hasn’t wavered. Ahead of …

The Dallas Cowboys workhorse, the engine of the train and the stir of the drink has been Ezekiel Elliott for the most part of his four-year career. The running back has had two rough games in a row, but the confidence in him hasn’t wavered.

Ahead of the Week 4 contest against the Cleveland Browns (2-1) and trying to get their season back on the right foot, head coach Mike McCarthy has named Elliott the offensive captain for the game. Defensive tackle Dontari Poe and defensive end Dorance Armstrong have been named the other two captains for the week.

Armstrong plays on all four special teams units in addition to being in the rotation on defense.

Elliott, despite his fumbles, drops and pass protection errors over the last two weeks, has still gained over 300 total yards and scored four touchdowns so far this season. Poe, signed in the offseason to plug a hole in the run defense, continues to try and find his way in Mike Nolan’s multiple defense.

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Watch: Cowboys finally get rhythm, Elliott steamrolls Falcons safety for TD

Elliott was the focal point of the drive despite his early-game troubles.

The game could not have started off worse for the Dallas Cowboys in their Week 2 matchup against the Atlanta Falcons. Thanks to a number a fumbles and a failed fake punt, the Cowboys were actually lucky to only be down 20-0 entering the second quarter.

Things started to get fixed before the quarter break, as the Cowboys started their drive at their 25, trying to find some semblance of footing. They found it, thanks to the run game and Ezekiel Elliott, as the All-Pro runner touched the rock on seven of the team’s 11 plays, including crossing the final yard into the end zone to trim the lead to 20-7.

Elliott, who had two fumbles in the first quarter, seems to be trying to regain the touch he showed in the first contest. On this drive, he played with calm and patience, weaving his way through the hole as Dallas tries to claw their way back into the game.

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Ezekiel Elliott’s second TD gives Cowboys halftime lead

Ezekiel Elliott punctuates a two-minute drill orchestrated by Dak Prescott as the Dallas Cowboys take the lead at halftime.

The Dallas Cowboys do not deserve to be winning this game against the Los Angeles Rams. Quarterback Dak Prescott doesn’t care about who deserves what. The Cowboys signal caller took his offense screaming down the field in a two-minute drill, covering 72 yards before running back Ezekiel Elliott put the exclamation point on the drive.

Prescott has been dealing. Despite an offensive line that has had some issues handling the Rams’ front, the Cowboys quarterback continues to deliver. After a questionable call brought back what would have been Elliott’s second receiving touchdown of the game, Prescott took matters into his own hands by scrambling for a 13 yards and a first down to the one-yard-line.

The two most visible members of the Dallas offense are delivering the goods on Sunday night. Prescott is 15 of 18 for 187 yards and a touchdown while Elliott has 66 total yards and has scored twice. The Cowboys lead at the half 14-13 over the Rams.

Cowboys 20202 Prop Bet Manifesto: Where you should let it ride

Degenerate gamblers unite. The NFL season is nigh, and with it comes a cornucopia of ways to diversify a budding portfolio with long-term investments in the player-prop market. This exact column last year had a hit rate of two out of three, a …

Degenerate gamblers unite. The NFL season is nigh, and with it comes a cornucopia of ways to diversify a budding portfolio with long-term investments in the player-prop market.

This exact column last year had a hit rate of two out of three, a percentage that Meat Loaf would say, “ain’t bad.” This year the dive is only getting deeper. Three picks is no longer enough satiate this thirst. Here’s to building on a successful campaign and making some extra money on all things Dallas Cowboys.

A quick note, all lines come from Bovada and can be found here, though they are subject to change at a moment’s notice.

Dak Prescott

There’s no place better to start than with quarterback Dak Prescott. Coming off the best statistical season of his career, the odds-makers are projecting a decline in 2020 in his gross totals.

Passing yards over/under 4319.5 (-130 over, EVEN under)

Only three times in head coach Mike McCarthy’s 13 previous years with the Green Bay Packers did his offense fall in the bottom half of the league in passing attempts. The lowest of all was in 2014, where the Packers ranked No. 20 in attempts, throwing the ball 536 times. That would be the second most attempts for Prescott in his career, trailing only the 2019 season.

It’s easy to imagine the Cowboys throwing the ball less in 2020, but given McCarthy’s history, even if that happens it it is unlikely to be a significant decrease. The bigger concern facing Prescott is simple regression. He was incredibly efficient last year, notching over 8.2 yards per attempt, so even a modest drop off can make the over a tough bet to win.

The Verdict: Over. Prescott staves off the yardage regression to become just the 12th quarterback in NFL history to throw for at least 4320 yards in consecutive seasons.

Passing touchdowns over/under 27.5 (-145 over, +110 under)

Prescott had never thrown for more than 23 touchdowns until 2019, however the bettors are heavily favoring the over for the Cowboys quarterback in 2020.

The biggest reason why is a swerve from the Jason Garret regime that was notorious for its conservative nature in the red zone. McCarthy has been historically pass happy inside the 20-yard-line. The comparison was made by The Athletic’s Bob Sturm, who noted the stark difference between the two head coaches.

The Verdict: McCarthy’s aggressive nature gets Prescott to the over.

Interceptions thrown over/under 9.5 (-115 over, -115 under)

Prescott has averaged just nine interceptions a game in his career, but part of that average is skewed by his anomaly of a rookie season in which he notched just four. The increased aggressiveness will lead to many good things on the football field, but it’s unlikely to lower his interception total.

Verdict: Over


Ezekiel Elliott

Rushing yards over/under 1275.5 (over -110, under -120)

Rushing touchdowns over/under 9.5 (over -115, under -115)

The public is off of running back Ezekiel Elliott’s bandwagon for the moment, as the under for yardage is currently seeing more action. That would make the second year in a row the Cowboys bell cow fails to hit that specific over, and it’s not hard to see why. There are three things working against Elliott here.

The first is his decline in production from his rookie year on. His yards per game have gone down every single season he’s been in the league.

Year Yards per game
2016 108.7
2017 98.3
2018 95.6
2019 84.8

That’s an uncomfortable truth. His 2016 performance was bolstered by an offensive line that was head and shoulders above the rest of the league. That’s no longer the case due to age and attrition. But the elephant in the room is whether or not Elliott’s 2019 is a sign of things to come or just a blip on the radar.

The second issue is backup running back Tony Pollard, who played well in his limited time on the field his rookie year. It’s likely he’ll be used more than the 18% of offensive snaps he saw in 2019, and even a small increase can eat into Elliott’s totals.

The final, and perhaps most important is Mike McCarthy. McCarthy has never had a running back rush for 1276 yards in a season. The most yardage in a season belongs to Ryan Grant and his 1253 yards back in 2009. Otherwise, some truly pedestrian numbers have led McCarthy’s teams on the ground. On two separate occasions under 500 yards did the trick.

To be fair, McCarthy has never had a back like Elliott during his time in the NFL. For those who like the over, there’s one thing that matters most in determining whether or not he delivers: winning games.

In games where Dallas jumped out to a big lead were the games in which Elliott was most effective. In the Cowboys’ seven double digit wins in 2019, he racked up 778 yards on 142 attempts and six rushing touchdowns, good for 5.47 yards-per-carry.

This is the formula the Cowboys need to follow in 2020: throw to build a lead and then lean on the running game to salt away the clock.

Verdict: Over on both. An increased focus on the passing game results in a more efficient Elliott.


Amari Cooper

Receiving yards over/under 1050.5 (over -110, under -120)

Receiving touchdowns over/under 7.5 (over -115, under -115)

Receptions over/under 74.5 (over -115, under -115)

The lines above could pass for Amari Cooper’s career averages and no one would blink an eye. Through his career his 16 game average per Pro Football Reference is 74 receptions for 1059 yards and 7 touchdowns. These are the exact kind of lines that strike fear into the hearts of gamblers everywhere.

There’s been two problems that have plagued Cooper and have kept him from entering the upper-crust of wide receiver society: injuries and consistency. It’s not exactly a state secret that Prescott’s No. 1 target battled injuries throughout 2019 and the Cowboys Wire’s KD Drummond outlined the stark contrast between his stellar performance at home and his concerning play on the road.

For Cooper to hit the over it’s going to require nearly perfect health. Unfortunately, he’s missed a considerable amount of time heading into the season and as of Wednesday before kick off wasn’t a full participant in practice and is working on the resistance cords.

Verdicts: With the tenuous nature of Cooper’s health heading into 2020, it’s best to stay away from the receptions and yards bets. Go under on 7.5 touchdowns, as he had just nine targets inside the red zone last year, and may be the fourth best receiving option near the goal line in 2020.


Michael Gallup

Receiving yards over/under 900.5 (over -120, under -110)

Michael Gallup may be the most slept on wide receiver in the NFL. He’s on the short list of receivers to top 1100 yards in one of their first two seasons. He did that in 2019 in just 14 games while getting knee surgery in the middle of the season. No big deal.

He was already in the shadow of Amari Cooper and then the Cowboys went ahead and drafted CeeDee Lamb, pushing him further from the spotlight. There’s concern from some that there won’t be enough targets to go around, but that shouldn’t be an issue. The only regret is there’s not more Gallup props to throw money at.

Verdict: Over.


CeeDee Lamb

Receiving yards over/under 750.5 (over -130, under EVEN)

Receiving touchdowns over/under 4.5 (over -170, under +130)

Again, like with Cooper and Gallup before him, it comes down to a question of targets. Fortunately for Lamb fans, there’s plenty to go around. First, it’s fair to assume, given McCarthy’s history, that the passing attempts won’t see a significant drop off in 2020 so the Dallas offense and quarterback Dak Prescott will be throwing the ball early and often.

Secondly, it’s not exactly a one to one equation, but the Cowboys do have targets to replace. Specifically to former tight end Jason Witten and former wide receiver Randall Cobb. Those two combined for 166 targets in 2019. Some of those will surely find their way to starting tight end Blake Jarwin, but there’s a significant amount left on the table.

Highly-touted rookie wide receivers often struggle transitioning to the NFL. There’s several reasons for it, but a lot of times it’s because they quickly are drawing attention from the opposing team’s better cornerbacks on a weekly basis. In Dallas, Lamb has the luxury of being with two wide receivers who demand attention, making this an easy pick.

Verdict: Over on both. Lamb turns in one of the best rookie receiving campaigns in team history.

Elliott feels ‘in-tune’ for 2020, says ‘sky’s the limit’ for Cowboys offense

The star running back kept the details of the offense mostly under wraps, but looks to be more involved in the passing game this season.

Ezekiel Elliott tried really hard to stick to the party line laid out by his head coach. He made every effort to follow Mike McCarthy’s example and not divulge any insider information about what the 2020 Cowboys offense will look like when it’s unveiled Sunday night at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles.

After a preseason with no exhibition games, confidential training camp sessions, and a televised scrimmage that revealed nothing but standing around on the sidelines, no one outside the locker room really knows what to expect from Dak Prescott and Company.

But it didn’t stop the media from asking the running back for a preview during a Wednesday conference call.

“I don’t think that any changes that we’ve made are that big from what we were doing. Just like, little different playcalls,” Elliott said. “I think I’m ready. I’m pretty comfortable in the offense. It’s very similar to what we ran last year, so it’s not really anything that’s crazy-new or crazy-alarming, so it’s pretty much the same system I’ve been in the past four years.”

That may not be quite what Cowboys Nation wants to hear, given that Dallas reached the postseason in just two of those four years and have a disappointing 1-2 record in those playoff games to show for it.

So Elliott was asked instead to confirm the rumors that he’ll be more involved in the passing game under McCarthy.

“Yeah, I think I will be.”

That was it. That was the whole answer.

The no-nonsense McCarthy would have loved it.

The reporters assembled remotely waited for more, and then burst out in laughter when they realized it wasn’t coming. At least not willingly.

They pushed Elliott to elaborate.

“Just running routes from the backfield, running routes from slot, running from out wide,” Elliott said before flashing his signature grin. “That’s about how much I can give you.”

Elliott no doubt has the skills to hurt defenses as a receiver. But last season, he barely cracked the top 10 leaguewide when it came to pass receptions by a running back. And most of those catches came on garden-variety swings and screen dump-offs. His best season catching the ball came in 2018, when he had 77 grabs for 567 yards and three touchdowns.

In 2020, Elliott looks to surpass those stats by running more actual routes, but he’s still eyeing the big prize, too: a third league rushing title to go with the ones he earned in 2016 and 2018.

“Based off the whole mentality of the football team and that O-line we’ve got in front of us and all the weapons outside,” Elliott explained, “I think with my ability, I expect myself to be up there in the running for that rushing title.”

There are plenty of playmakers in Dallas looking for touches, as Elliott alluded to. One of them is in the same backfield. Tony Pollard impressed last season in his rookie campaign, despite totaling just 455 yards on the ground. While the Memphis product’s primary purpose may be to spell Elliott from time to time, fans were tantalized last season with the thought of seeing the pair on the field together.

The idea never truly took off under Jason Garrett’s watch. It just might in Kellen Moore’s first collaborative season with McCarthy.

“You saw a little bit of it last year,” Elliott admitted when asked about a scheme featuring both backs. “I would say just a bigger package, a bigger menu. Just more plays, like when you saw me and Tony together in there last year.”

Pollard came close to being the starter in Week 1 of 2019, after Elliott held out of training camp in a contract dispute. Zeke says his solo time in Cabo may have let him start last year fresher, but he feels more ready for action this time around.

“I definitely just feel in-tune. Like, I’ve been playing football for the past three weeks. Coming off the holdout, I jumped right into practice, the first day in pads, and then literally, three or four days later, we’re playing on Sunday. So just having those three weeks, it went by fast, but just having that and actually being in pads and seeing the run fits.”

It will all come together on Sunday night when Elliott, Pollard, Prescott, and the highly-anticipated receiving corps of Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup, and CeeDee Lamb finally take the field and unleash what looks to be- on paper, anyway- a legitimate offensive juggernaut.

“I think the sky’s the limit,” Elliott said plainly.

But the 25-year-old rusher was also quick to temper initial expectations about that potentially-explosive Dallas offense, one that’s still trying to jell as a unit after the abbreviated camp.

“The first game, you know it’s not going to be your best game,” Elliott admitted. “You know it’s going to be a little sloppy, especially this year with no preseason and kind of a late start to the training camp. It’s going to be messy. You know those first couple weeks, it’s not going to be perfect, but you’ve got to fight for a win.”

Just as McCarthy had told the team.

Elliott ended up sticking to the script after all.

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