4-Down Territory: Senior Bowl stars, Super Bowl sleepers, matchups, and predictions!

In this week’s 4-Down Territory: Senior Bowl standouts, Super Bowl LVII matchups, hidden stars, and predictions!

Every week in “4-Down Territory,” Touchdown Wire’s Doug Farrar and Luke Easterling of Bucs Wire and Draft Wire go over the things you need to know about, and the things you need to watch, in the NFL right now. With the Conference Championship games in the rear-view, and Super Bowl LVII set with the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles, there’s a lot to talk about!

00:00 – Intro

01:16 – Which players stood out from 2023 Senior Bowl practices and the actual game?

07:32 – Who is the one Secret Superstar for either the Eagles or the Chiefs who could stand out in the Super Bowl?

12:21 – What is the biggest matchup nightmare for either team in this game?

16:50 – Who do you have winning Super Bowl LVII, what’s the final score, and why?

You can watch this week’s “4-Down Territory,” powered by KIA, right here:

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Super Bowl LVII: Chiefs DL Chris Jones is set to test the Eagles’ NFL-best offensive line

Chiefs DL Chris Jones put on an absolute pass-rush clinic against the Bengals in the AFC Championship game. The Eagles should be VERY concerned.

It is amazing to consider that Sunday’s AFC Championship game marked Chiefs defensive lineman Chris Jones’ 13th postseason appearance, and he didn’t have a single sack in his first 12 playoff performances. This included Kansas City’s win over the 49ers in Super Bowl LV — a Jones game so dominant, it could be argued (as I did) that he should have been named the gane’s Most Valuable Player. You can completely disrupt an offense without sacks, and Jones has done it more often than most.

That said, when Jones finally broke his sack drought against the Bengals on Sunday, he did it with authority. Jones had two sacks, and he also had three quarterback hits and five quarterback hurries. Cincinnati’s injury-ravaged offensive line, which looked impressively solid against the Bills in the divisional round, had no shot of keeping Jones at bay. Nor did the rest of Kansas City’s defensive line fail to eat. Joe Burrow was pressured on 21 of his 49 dropbacks. Burrow took five sacks, and under pressure, he completed just five passes on 13 attempts for 81 yards, no touchdowns, both of his interceptions, and a passer rating of 20.5.

Others on that Chiefs line got their work in, but Jones was the superstar. The Bengals tried just about everything to stop him short of double-teaming him on every play (it was about half the time), and nothing worked. Jones played all over the line, and got pressures from the left and right edges, and from the left and right defensive tackle gaps.

“Yeah, he’s so good,” Burrow said of Jones after the game. “He makes it so hard on you. He’s so big, strong and physical. He really understands what you’re trying to do to him up front. You have to give them credit, they had a really good rush plan. They let their big-time pass rushers go to work.”

There was an element of last year’s AFC Championship game that stuck in Jones’ craw all season long, and he was more than ready to prove his readiness this time around.

“I think I planned for this game – my whole offseason was dedicated to this game. I missed a few big plays last year, unfortunate they were able to move forward, and I put that on my shoulders. So this offseason, I dedicated my whole offseason to making sure that when that moment calls, for me specifically, that I’ll answer the call.”

Not that Jones played badly in that game — he had six quarterback hurries in 34 pass-rushing snaps — but this time around, he cranked things up several levels.

As for that first sack (and the second), Jones claimed not to care about it (and them).

“It’s been a lot made by you guys,” Jones said with a laugh. “Y’all make it bigger than what it is. I really personally do not care about stats in the playoffs. My job is to make sure that I play hard, play physical, set a different side of the line of scrimmage and make my teammates around me make plays. Rather it’s taking the double team the whole game or rather it’s getting the one-on-one and winning. I think you guys blow it out of proportion. It doesn’t really matter to me, but I’m glad that you guys can have another story that Chris Jones finally got a sack.” 

Well, in that spirit, let’s get past the obvious and dive into what Jones did in what amounted to a perfect pass-rush clinic.

VIDEO: How can Joseph Ossai recover from that one big mistake?

How can Bengals edge-rusher Joseph Ossai recover from his AFC Championship mistake? Doug Farrar and Luke Easterling discuss.

In this week’s episode of “4-Down Territory,” powered by KIA, Touchdown Wire’s Doug Farrar and Luke Easterling of Bucs Wire and Draft Wire discuss how Cincinnati Bengals edge-rusher Joseph Ossai can recover from the penalty that helped propel the Chiefs to Super Bowl LVII.

The other big story in the AFC Championship game was of course Bengals edge-rusher Joseph Ossai, who pushed Patrick Mahomes when he was already out of bounds with seconds left in the game, and the subsequent 15-yard penalty put the Chiefs in position for Harrison Butker to kick the game-winning 45-yard field goal with eight seconds left. When you unfortunately have to wear the goat horns in a case like this, how do you get over it? 

Doug: It’s rough. You feel for the human being beyond the game. I will say that Ossai shares the goat horns with referee Ron Torbert and his crew, who missed at least one, and possibly two, holds on Chiefs offensive linemen on that very same play. I know there have been thoughts about rip-move exemptions that would take those penalties away, but do you trust NFL officials to correctly legislate that in the moment? I do not.

Ossai’s penalty (which was legitimate) could have been offset. In that case, you’re breathing a sigh of relief and playing for overtime. But Ossai also had one of the best games of his young career – five tackles, a tackle for loss, two quarterback hits, and a pass defensed. The best thing Ossai can do is to focus on the good, use what happened as fuel for the future, and try to move on. 

The real key for the Bengals is to not let this ruin their future prospects. Because single plays like this can exact a heavy emotional toll. I was in the Seahawks’ locker room after Russell Wilson’s interception to Malcolm Butler in Super Bowl 49, and I was in the building a lot in the few years after that.  I don’t think that series of Seahawks teams ever recovered from it. You can’t let one bad play define your future, no matter how impossible that seems in the moment. 

Luke: I think one of the biggest things is what we already saw Sunday night, with his teammates immediately coming to his side and supporting him. Whether that was Cam Sample on the bench right after, or B.J. Hill in the locker room while Ossai bravely answered for his mistake to the media. This game is played by real human beings with feelings and emotions, who make mistakes just like the rest of us do every day.

The only difference is, our biggest mistakes don’t usually happen in a stadium filled with thousands of people, and they’re not broadcast to millions more live on TV. Kudos to Ossai’s teammates for picking him up in the moment, and I’m sure they will continue to do so throughout the offseason. That’s really the most important thing, and could end up galvanizing the locker room even further for a potential run again next season.

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VIDEO: How will Patrick Mahomes deal with the Eagles’ historic pass rush in Super Bowl LVII?

Super Bowl LVII features a great matchup in the Chiefs’ offense vs the Eagles’ killer pass rush. Doug Farrar and Luke Easterling discuss.

In this week’s episode of “4-Down Territory,” powered by KIA, Touchdown Wire’s Doug Farrar and Luke Easterling of Bucs Wire and Draft Wire discuss how the Kansas City Chiefs’ top-tier offense will deal in Super Bowl LVII with the Philadelphia Eagles’ historically great pass rush, and the rest of that great defense.

This Super Bowl marks the third time in NFL history that the passing yards leader will take on the NFL’s No. 1 pass defense, at least by conventional metrics. The last two times did not go well at all for the prolific quarterbacks – the Seahawks beat the brakes off Peyton Manning and the Broncos in Super Bowl 48, and the Buccaneers vivisected Rich Gannon and the Raiders in Super Bowl 37. Now, we have Mahomes against the Eagles’ defense. How does Mahomes overcome this historical deficit when he takes the field against the Eagles? 

Doug: The matchup I’m most concerned about for the Chiefs is Philly’s ridiculous pass rush (especially Haason Reddick, who basically stole the deed to San Francisco in the NFC Championship game) against Kansas City offensive tackles Orlando Brown Jr. and Andrew Wylie, who have been vulnerable all season to pressure off the edge. That vulnerability has shown up especially against guys like Reddick, who can win on the back half of the arc to the pocket,and that is Brown’s Kryptonite in particular. If Mahomes can overcome that with pocket movement and second-reaction plays with however much he’s able to recover from the high ankle sprain over the next two weeks, things might be okay. Otherwise, we could be looking at a replay of Super Bowl 55, when the Buccaneers’ pass rush gave Kansas City’s explosive offense no chance to explode.

And speaking of bad blocking plans, the Chiefs should not try to block Reddick with tight ends and receivers, as the 49ers did. That was suboptimal for them.

Luke: I think Isiah Pacheco is going to be the key here. The Chiefs have GOT to run the ball consistently and effectively if they want to win this game. It’ll take pressure off Mahomes, set up some big plays down the field by luring the Eagles defense down into the box, and he can make big plays in the screen game to punish that aggressive pass rush, as well. Keeping Jalen Hurts and the Eagles off the field as much as possible, and not allowing them to dominate time of possession, will be critical. That’ll come down to the running game for KC.

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VIDEO: How close are the Cincinnati Bengals to winning a Super Bowl?

How close are the Cincinnati Bengals to their first Super Bowl win in franchise history? Doug Farrar and Luke Easterling discuss.

In this week’s episode of “4-Down Territory,” powered by KIA, Touchdown Wire’s Doug Farrar and Luke Easterling of Bucs Wire and Draft Wire discuss how close the Cincinnati Bengals are to winning the first Super Bowl in franchise history.

The Bengals have seen their last two seasons end with a three-point loss to the Rams in Super Bowl 56, and a three-point loss in this AFC Championship. It’s like the Bengals of the 1980s, in which they lost two close Super Bowls to the Bill Walsh 49ers. Great teams, but they kept missing it by that much. What do the Bengals need to do to push this thing over the top next season? 

Doug: I honestly don’t think they need to do that much. Joe Burrow has been saying for months that the 2022 Bengals are a better team than the 2021 Bengals that made the Super Bowl, and he’s absolutely correct. They went from 17th to fifth in overall DVOA, 18th to fourth in Offensive DVOA, and 19th to 11th in Defensive DVOA. They were sporting a 10-game winning streak, and not a lot of flukes in there. Last season, this was a surprise. This season, we all expected the Bengals to be here. I would focus on the offensive line, because even with multiple additions last offseason, they can still upgrade. 

I would look specifically at left tackle Jonah Williams, who will be on the final year of his rookie contract next season. He allowed 13 sacks and 45 pressures in 2022 on 748 pass-blocking snaps. Maybe some reinforcements in the secondary as well. You wonder – had Chidobie Awuzie, their best cornerback, not been lost since Week 8 with a torn ACL, do we have a different result in this game? Other than that, a relatively healthy Bengals team should be expected to be right back in the hunt next season and beyond.

Oh. Maybe don’t ever single-team Chris Jones? Doing that seems like a bad idea. 

Luke: Yeah, I think it’s really just the offensive line. At full strength, I think the one they have might have been enough, but that’s where a lack of quality depth can bite you. This is still one of the best teams in the league on both sides of the ball, and I think perhaps their biggest concern might be if defensive coordinator Lou Anarumo gets a head coaching gig somewhere else this offseason.

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VIDEO: Was the AFC Championship game Patrick Mahomes’ best NFL performance?

Was Sunday’s AFC Championship game the best performance of Patrick Mahomes’ NFL career? Doug Farrar and Luke Easterling discuss it.

In this week’s episode of “4-Down Territory,” powered by KIA, Touchdown Wire’s Doug Farrar and Luke Easterling of Bucs Wire and Draft Wire went over the idea that Sunday’s AFC Championship game was Patrick Mahomes’ ultimate NFL performance.

In the Chiefs’ 23-20 AFC Championship win over the Bengals, Patrick Mahomes completed 29 of 43 passes for 326 yards, two touchdowns, no interceptions, and a passer rating of 105.4. And he did it against a defense that had had his number in each of the last three times these teams played. Moreover, he did it on an obviously injured right ankle,and down multiple receivers due to injury. We’ve seen all kinds of amazing things from Mahomes since he started terrorizing the NFL in 2018, but was this the most impressive game of Mahomes’ NFL career? 

Doug: I think it was. It’s certainly in the top two or three. In this spotlight, against a defensive coordinator in Lou Anarumo who had taken his  lunch money over and over, and down four receivers due to injury, Mahomes took the field (just barely), and you could see as the game went on that whatever he took to make his performance possible in the first place was wearing off. He was more and more hampered as things went along. And still, he got it done as he hadn’t before against this team. 

The most remarkable turnaround came in the second half. The Bengals had made Mahomes look like an undrafted free agent in the second halves and overtime in the three previous Chiefs losses: He completed 25 passes on 44 attempts for 503 yards, no touchdowns, two interceptions, and a passer rating of 54.5. In the second half of this game, with his body and his receiver corps falling apart, Mahomes completed 16 of 24 passes for 161 yards, a touchdown, no picks, and a passer rating of 99.5. Mahomes doesn’t have a lot of demons to exorcize in his career, but he certainly took care of a few on Sunday. 

Patrick Mahomes redefined his greatness in this AFC Championship victory

Luke: Yeah, we’ve seen some otherworldly things from No. 15 already in his career, but this was so important. Just like you said, the recent history against the Bengals, the high stakes, the injuries (both his own and his teammates’)…he had every reason to fold and let Joe Burrow take another one from him in front of his own home crowd. Instead, he delivered the kind of gutsy performance we’ll be talking about for years to come, especially if the Chiefs go on to finish the job in Arizona.

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4-Down Territory: Mahomes’ ultimate game, Bengals’ future, best-on-best, Ossai’s recovery

In this week’s 4-Down Territory: Historic Mahomes, Bengals are close, Eagles’ pass-rush, and Joseph Ossai’s recovery from a big mistake.

Every week in “4-Down Territory,” Touchdown Wire’s Doug Farrar and Luke Easterling of Bucs Wire and Draft Wire go over the things you need to know about, and the things you need to watch, in the NFL right now. With the Conference Championship games in the rear-view, and Super Bowl LVII set with the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles, there’s a lot to talk about!

00:00 – Was this the most impressive game of Patrick Mahomes’ NFL career?

07:08 – What do the Cincinnati Bengals need to do to push this thing over the top next season?

11:07 – How does Patrick Mahomes overcome the Eagles’ amazing defense — specifically, their historically great pass rush?

15:05 – When you unfortunately have to wear the goat horns, how do you get over it, as Bengals edge-rusher Joseph Ossai must now do?

You can watch this week’s “4-Down Territory,” powered by KIA, right here:

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Officials miss obvious Orlando Brown hold on crucial Joseph Ossai penalty

AFC Championship game officials missed an obvious Orlando Brown hold on the game-deciding Joseph Ossai penalty.

With 17 seconds left in the AFC Championship game between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Cincinnati Bengals, Patrick Mahomes scrambled to his right on third-and-4 from the Cincinnati 47-yard line, trying to get the ball sa far as possible so that Chiefs kicker Harrison Butker might be able to break the game’s 20-20 tie, and send Kansas City back to the Super Bowl for the third time in four seasons.

Butker was able to make a 45-yard field goal with three seconds left in the game to do just that, but the Chiefs were greatly aided by this unnecessary roughness penalty called on Cincinnati linebacker Joseph Ossai, who pushed Mahomes after he was already out of bounds. .

That penalty took the ball all the way down to the Cincinnati 27-yard line, making Butker’s game-winner an eventual reality. And for all the “interesting” calls referee Ron Torbert’s crew did and did not make in this game, that one was legitimate.

However, there was a non-call on that very same play that could have changed the complexion of the game, and the Super Bowl, had it been called — which it clearly should have been.

If you watch Chiefs left tackle Orlando Brown hook Bengals edge-rusher Trey Hendrickson around the neck as the play developed… well, that’s about as clear a holding penalty as you’ll ever see.

Has the penalty been called, the Chiefs would have faced third-and-14 10 yards back from the start of the play, and at that point, barring a Patrick Mahomes miracle (which is never entirely out of the question), we’re playing for overtime here.

Did Ossai make a rookie mistake? Absolutely. But Torbert and his crew are an alleged “all-star” team with decades of combined experience. What would their excuses be for missing a hold this blatantly obvious?

Bryan Cook and Joshua Williams, two Chiefs rookie DBs, team up for amazing INT

Two Chiefs rookie defensive backs, safety Bryan Cook and cornerback Joshua Williams, combined for an amazing interception of Joe Burrow.

If you had any questions about the rookie class put together by Kansas City Chiefs general manager Brett Veach and his staff… well, you probably shouldn’t. Seventh-round cornerback Jaylen Watson had this interception of Joe Burrow late in the second half of the AFC Championship game…

And with 7:02 left in the fourth quarter, and the score tied 20-20, second-round rookie safety Bryan Cook tipped a Burrow pass in the general vicinity of receiver Tee Higgins to fourth-round cornerback Joshua Williams.

Outstanding teamwork from the new kids on what was a game-changing turnover.

Patrick Mahomes responds to Joe Burrow’s great TD pass with a greater TD pass

Joe Burrow threw an incredible TD pass in the AFC Championship game, so Patrick Mahomes had to throw an even more incredible one.

What we all wanted when the Kansas City Chiefs and the Cincinnati Bengals faced off in their second straight AFC Championship game was Patrick Mahomes and Joe Burrow trading haymakers as the game became more dramatic.

In the third quarter of the game, that’s exactly what we’ve had. The Bengals were down 13-6 with 9:54 left in that third quarter until Burrow made this perfect 27-yard touch fade to Tee Higgins as Higgins Mossed two Chiefs defenders.

That game-tying touchdown would demoralize a lot of teams, but a lot of teams don’t have Patrick Mahomes as their quarterback. Mahomes ended the Chiefs’ drive after Burrow’s perfect score to Higgins by making this utterly preposterous 19-yard touchdown throw to Marquez Valdes-Scantling with 4:15 left in the third quarter.

That put the Chiefs back up 20-13, and re-established the truism that if you’re playing “anything you can do, I can do better” with Patrick Mahomes, you’re probably going to lose.

No matter how good you are.