Schultz to AFC South? Cowboys TE named top free-agent target of 2 different clubs

If the Cowboys don’t want to bear the cost of bringing back their top TE, there appears to be a solid market for his services. | From @KDDrummondNFL

The Dallas Cowboys have a ton of free agents who will become eligible to sign with other teams soon after the end of the playoffs. With the offseason calendar sketched out, the team knows exactly how long they have to decide whether or not to try and sign their own guys, whether any of the unsigned will be worthy of a franchise tag or will be allowed to set his market price so they can choose whether or not to match.

Dallas has several names they must strongly consider, such as defensive end Randy Gregory and WR Michael Gallup. Perhaps the name that will draw the most attention, though, is tight end Dalton Schultz. Schultz set career highs this season in catches (78), receiving yards (808) and receiving touchdowns (8). That level of production, finishing one catch short of the team lead on a club with Amari Cooper and CeeDee Lamb, has TE-needy teams salivating, including two AFC South squads.

In a poll of managing editors from across USA Today’s NFL Wire network, where each was allowed to claim one unrestricted free agent, the Indianapolis Colts and the Tennesee Titans named Schultz their top target.

Here’s what Colts Wire’s Kevin Hickey had to say about Indianapolis’ need.

The Colts have many needs this offseason and one of their more underrated needs include the tight end position. With the chance of Jack Doyle retiring and Mo Alie-Cox being a free agent, the Colts will be on the hunt for a new tight end. They should look no further than Schultz, who has emerged as a strong option for the Cowboys in both phases of the game.

Emerging as a starter over the last two seasons in Dallas, Schultz has proven to be a solid receiving tight end. He may not be the most athletically gifted, but he’s solid at the catch point, is a savvy route runner and can work both in-line and in the slot. Edge rusher and left tackle are bigger needs, but Schultz should be high on the priority list for the Colts in free agency because he’d fill a massive need with immediate production. — Kevin Hickey, Colts Wire

Not to be outdone, the recently-eliminated No. 1 seed from the AFC could use Schultz’s skillset, too, according to Mike Moraitis.

One of the biggest areas of need for the Titans going into the offseason is at tight end, where the team doesn’t have a true every-down player who excels both as a pass-catcher and run-blocker.

Schultz would check that box. After having a breakout year in 2020, Schultz took another step forward in 2021, reeling in career-highs in catches (78), receiving yards (808) and touchdowns (eight). He’s also a great red-zone target with his 6-foot-5 frame.

Schultz thrived as a run-blocker as well, earning a Pro Football Focus grade of 69.4 in that area. The 25-year-old will be a hot commodity on the open market and should be at the top of Tennessee’s list of tight end options. — Mike Moraitis, Titans Wire

Normally well regarded for his blocking, that part of his game came under scrutiny as the year went along, but it’s not something outside fanbases would be paying as much attention to because he has a reputation as a good player in that regard. That will likely be a cause for disconnect between frustrated Cowboys Nation and hopeful fanbases of teams in need for tight ends.

Dallas supporters are concerned about the high price tag Schultz will command, with the Cowboys currently over the salary cap limit, but with several moves at their disposal. The idea of franchise tagging Schultz has come up, but that would cost Dallas just under $11 million.

Doing so would saddle the Cowboys way more in 2022 than signing him to a multi-year deal that would have a lower cap hit due to spreading out of any signing bonus.

If Executive VP Stephen Jones chooses to let him walk, it looks like there may be more than a few teams willing to give him top TE dollars.

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2022 Offseason: 10 most important dates to watch for Cowboys, NFL including free agency, draft

The Cowboys season just ended, but the 2022 NFL offseason is already right around the corner. Here are some key upcoming dates to know. | From @AsaHenry_55

Following another disappointing playoff exit, fans are already turning their attention towards next season and how the Dallas Cowboys’ roster will continue to evolve. Thankfully for them, the major 2022 offseason dates have been set in stone for some time now and are just around the corner.

Once the Cowboys get themselves out of this coaching purgatory, that is. Dallas should wholly expect to lose defensive coordinator Dan Quinn and have to replace him. They may lose offensive coordinator Kellen Moore and they still could fire head coach Mike McCarthy. All that will need to be resolved before making their way to the actual offseason calendar shared by every team in the league.

Beginning in less than a month and spanning through the 2022 NFL Draft in late April, here are some key dates to know for the NFL offseason.

Stay or go: Predicting the top Saints unrestricted free agents in 2022

Stay or go: Predicting the top Saints unrestricted free agents in 2022

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There’s another challenging offseason ahead for the New Orleans Saints. They’ve got to shed tens of millions of negative salary cap space again, and then start to work on re-signing some of their pending free agents. And they’ve got a crop of unrestricted free agents-to-be who are headed for the open market, which brings more hurdles than the restricted and exclusive-rights free agents New Orleans must deal with (check here for the full list of expiring contracts).

Obviously some of these unrestricted free agents are more high-profile than others. Entrenched starters like Terron Armstead and Marcus Williams are on deck, as are key backups like P.J. Williams, Kwon Alexander, and Tre’Quan Smith. And what’s to be done with Jameis Winston?

It’s early, but here is where I’m leaning on which of the top Saints unrestricted free agents will stay or go in 2022:

These 18 Saints players will be free agents in 2022

These 18 Saints players will be free agents in 2022, from Jameis Winston to Terron Armstead and Marcus Williams:

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It almost goes without saying that the New Orleans Saints have their hands full in the upcoming offseason. They’ve got a long list of 2022 free agents to evaluate, with tough decisions ahead on who to re-sign — and that’s before they have to figure out how to sign them. New Orleans is in the red by more than $60 million, and on its face that looks daunting.

But it’s light work for Saints salary cap navigator Khai Harley and his team. He’s spearheaded New Orleans’ complicated cap maneuvers for years now, and this year’s challenges look more like a molehill compared to the $101 million mountain he climbed last summer (check here for a look at how the Saints can reach cap compliance without touching two of their biggest contracts).

That’s a discussion for another day, though. Here’s a quick look at the 18 Saints players headed for free agency, along with their various status, 2021 earnings, snaps counts, and overall Pro Football Focus grades. It should be a useful resource once the offseason kicks off in earnest:

1 pending free agent each NFL team should bring back in 2022

NFL free agency 2022 starts just over two months from now. Here’s a look at who teams should keep among their pending free agents:

NFL contracts not signed beyond 2021 expire at 4 p.m. ET March 16, meaning that teams have from the end of the season until that time to sign their pending free agents to contract extensions. A few will get tagged (the franchise tag period begins Feb. 22), some will get extensions, but it’s a good bet most of the players set to reach unrestricted free agency will do so.

But if we were in charge, these are the players we’d keep — one per team as decided by the NFL Wire staff.

12 veteran quarterbacks the Saints could target in 2022

12 veteran quarterbacks the Saints could target in 2022, from Russell Wilson to Jimmy Garoppolo and Baker Mayfield (and let’s not forget about Jameis Winston):

We’re five games away from the end of the 2021 regular season, but a lot of attention is already focusing on what the New Orleans Saints may do in 2022. And there isn’t a more pressing problem to solve than at quarterback.

Jameis Winston didn’t do enough in his starts to silence speculation about where New Orleans may turn next — and his season-ending knee injury, following by a four-game losing streak under Trevor Siemian and a four-interception start from Taysom Hill (and continued hesitance to play Ian Book), only cranked up the volume on that discussion. Unless the Saints are about to go on a run and get back into the thick of the playoff picture, we need to at least cast a glance to the future.

So while it’s extremely early in the process to seriously evaluate moves the Saints could make, this is a good time to consider which veteran quarterbacks could be available either through free agency or trades with other teams. Consider this a preview before we get really deep in the weeds come the offseason (and before we can seriously consider the draft-eligible quarterbacks, given how few prospects have actually declared yet).

And the biggest moves have been coming earlier and earlier; Matthew Stafford was dealt to the Los Angeles Rams on Jan. 31, 2022, while Alex Smith was sent to the Washington Football Team on Jan. 30, 2018. Fewer teams are waiting until the spring to make a change. So here are a dozen names to know, starting with the big fish:

Saints $61M over projected 2022 NFL salary cap, here’s how they get under

No team is over the 2022 NFL salary cap ceiling higher than the Saints, but their road map to getting under it is simpler than years past:

Good news, everyone: multiple reports came out in recent days confirming that the 2022 NFL salary cap is expected to hit the $208.2 spending ceiling previously agreed to in light of fluctuating profits due to the COVID-19 pandemic. The league and the players union agreed on a salary cap floor for 2020 and 2021, as well as a ceiling for 2022. And things are on track to meet it before a series of new media rights contracts come into effect in 2023, prompting a real jump in the cap more in line with what we’re used to.

That’s going to carry serious implications for the upcoming offseason, particularly teams like the Saints. New Orleans is currently projected to start the spring over the cap by more than $61 million  — more than any other team, but light work compared to the $101 million mountain the team had to descend this year. Still, some tough decisions are in store for navigating it. Here’s your road map for how the Saints can reach salary cap compliance (and then go further, to a point where they can start adding new players):

Full list of the Saints 2022 free agents

The Saints have a long list of 2022 free agents, including All-Pro left tackle Terron Armstead and franchise tagged safety Marcus Williams:

As things currently stand, the New Orleans Saints will have 30 different free agents to evaluate in the spring. Many of them are unrestricted free agents who will be able to weigh offers from any team; a couple of them are exclusive-rights free agents (ERFA) who can remain in New Orleans on a low-cost contract tender, or not play at all; and a larger group is made up of restricted free agents (RFA) who the Saints can retain at a modest price that guarantees right of first refusal to other contract offers, as well as potential draft pick compensation. Here’s the full list:

Report: Saints to let Terron Armstead test free agency in 2022

Report: Saints to let All-Pro LT Terron Armstead test free agency in 2022

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Well that’s disconcerting. We’ve known the New Orleans Saints had been preparing for the possibility of life without Terron Armstead, but now we’ve got news that it could be more likely than not. Losing their All-Pro left tackle would be very difficult to recover from.

ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler reported Saturday that the Saints are effectively finished negotiating big-money contract extensions this season after signing star cornerback Marshon Lattimore to a five-year deal, months after right tackle Ryan Ramczyk was also extended. Here’s what Fowler wrote:

“I’m hearing he is set to play out the final year of his deal and hit the open market in March. Armstead is still a premier left tackle at age 30, and he can’t be franchise tagged because a recent contract restructure includes voidable years. So unless the Saints come up with a massive offer commensurate with top tackles in his age and price range, they’ll need to find a new edge protector next season.”

Fowler has been on top of Saints news this summer — he was first to report Lattimore’s interest in a new contract before the season started, and he reported several insightful contract details in New Orleans’ new deal with backup tackle James Hurst. While Hurst has been a great backup for the Saints, his contract increases in value if he wins a starting job.

That’s also true of Ramczyk if he earns All-Pro recognition at left tackle. Take those two factors together and it sure looks like the Saints are prepared to let Armstead go while sliding Ramczyk to the left side and giving Hurst an opportunity to start at right tackle (the same position promising rookie Landon Young has been training at). The salary cap crunch is expected to continue until 2023, when new media contracts send the cap sky-high. Good players like Armstead are going to get squeezed out.

Maybe Armstead considers a hometown discount, but it’s in his best interest to look for a big payday. He’s 30 and not likely to get another significant contract after this. If he can land something comparable to the $23 million per-year that top tackles Trent Williams, David Bakhtiari, and Laremy Tunsil are getting, he owes it to himself to pursue it. And that’s a number that stretches the limits of the Saints’ creative accounting. They’re right to prepare for his departure.

But Fowler’s reporting reflects how the Saints feel in September. It’s very possible they feel differently next March after self-scouting and getting a better idea of what the 2023 salary cap looks like. In-season extensions are rare for New Orleans, but let’s hope they find a way to keep both sides happy.

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Marcus Williams will benefit from Jamal Adams’ blockbuster Seahawks deal

Marcus Williams will benefit from Jamal Adams’ blockbuster Seahawks deal

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The Seattle Seahawks made Jamal Adams the highest-paid safety in the NFL on Tuesday, and their decision to agree to a four-year, $70 million deal averaging $17 million per season will have a ripple effect felt across the league.

Most important for the New Orleans Saints, it’s going to impact their negotiations with franchise tagged-free safety Marcus Williams in the spring. Because Williams and the Saints weren’t able to cut a deal before the NFL deadline this summer, they’ll have to stand pat and return to the negotiating table in the spring.

Now, let’s be clear: Williams will not get that same $17 million per-year payout. He and Adams play very different positions (see below), and Adams has racked up many more accolades — while Williams has yet to earn his first Pro Bowl nod or All-Pro selection, Adams has already done both three times (including an All-Pro first team spot in 2019). That matters in these talks.

And, again: they each have wildly different responsibilities in the New Orleans and Seattle defenses. Williams is a conventional free safety, lining up either single-high or in two-safety looks. Adams is asked to play a broader range of positions which sees him line up much closer to the line of scrimmage. A better comparison for Adams would really be Malcolm Jenkins. Just look at where they line up, per snap-by-snap Pro Football Focus charting:

But let’s get back to how Adams’ payday helps Williams. While this division between assignments for each player is crystal-clear, that distinction isn’t made often in contract talks. Adams is going to be set at the top of the list when safety salaries are ranked across the league.

If Williams wanted to be paid like a top-five safety, here’s how that list shook out before Adams moved to the top at $17 million per year:

  1. Justin Simmons: $15.25 million
  2. Budda Baker: $14.75 million
  3. Eddie Jackson: $14.6 million
  4. Kevin Byard: $14.1 million
  5. Landon Collins, Tyrann Mathieu: $14 million

NewOrleans.Football’s Nick Underhill reported in July that the Saints’ final offer to Williams “would have put him in the upper tier” for average yearly salary, so this is significant. That suggests an average annual value (AAV) greater than $14 million. The average of these five contracts would be $14.54 million, which feels appropriate for Williams.

But now Adams tips the scale. His $17 million figure at the top raises the top-five average up to $15.14 million, which is a $600,000 yearly increase. That may not seem like much when throwing these kind of numbers around, but it’s the difference between a proposed four-year, $58.16 million contract extension and a four-year, $60.56 million deal. That $2.4 million difference is greater than what many players are receiving (like Marquez Callaway, who is playing on a three-year, $2.295 million deal), so contributing added resources to Williams have an impact at other positions.

The business side of football isn’t pretty. It’s full of tough decisions and careful calculations. And in this case, Williams and his agent appear to have won by choosing to wait it out. If he turns in another great year for the Saints, they’ll have to meet a higher price point to re-sign him next March or consider a second use of the franchise tag. With other young star safeties around the league on the road towards their own new contracts — Minkah Fitzpatrick and Jessie Bates come to mind — the price is only going to climb higher. Here’s hoping Williams and the Saints are able to cut a deal.

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