Baylor at Alabama odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Baylor Bears at Alabama Crimson Tide aodds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 4 Baylor Bears (18-2) head to Coleman Coliseum to take on the Alabama Crimson Tide (13-7) Saturday as part of the Big 12/SEC Challenge. Tip-off is scheduled for 4 p.m. ET (on ESPN). Below, we look at the Baylor vs. Alabama odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Oddly enough, the Bears may have 2 losses, but they are undefeated on the road, sitting 5-0 on the season and 8-0 if when including neutral-court environments. The Bears are 12-7-1 against the spread (ATS).

After losing two straight in Big 12 action, they’ve won their last three, covering each time. However, they’ll be taking on an underrated Crimson Tide roster that’s 9-1 at home (just 1-4 on the road) and 7-12-1 ATS overall.

Alabama is coming off a worrisome road loss to Georgia as a 14.5-point favorite. The Crimson Tide have been more than 9-point favorites in 5 of their last 10 games, losing outright in 2 of them. They’ve covered just once in their last 10 games, pushing once as well.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Baylor at Alabama odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:59 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Baylor -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Alabama +133 (bet $100 to win $133)
  • Against the spread: Baylor -3.5 (-105) | Alabama +3.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 150.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Baylor at Alabama odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Baylor 74, Alabama 72

Money line

PASS, but consider a slight sprinkle on Baylor (-165).

Given how well Alabama has played at home and the value put on Baylor, I can’t fully get behind a play on its money line, but I do expect ‘Bama to win outright.

Against the spread

LEAN to ALABAMA +3.5 (-120).

The Crimson Tide have been a completely different team at home. They lost to now-No. 2 Auburn by four (81-77) on their home court. It’s the Tide’s only loss at Coleman Coliseum this season.

Alabama’s two top scoring threats, both guards 6-foot-3 or shorter – Jaden Shackelford and Jahvon Quinerly – are upperclassmen and should be able to handle the pressure and pace of Baylor’s tremendous perimeter defense.

The Crimson Tide also play 7-foot freshman C Charles Bediako 18 minutes per game. So, if Alabama needs size to counterattack the strength of Baylor’s top rebounder, F Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua, it’ll have it.

The experience of the Crimson Tide should be able to keep this game close. With the Tide playing like the top-10 team analysts thought they could be at home, I expect this to be a close battle.

Alabama has yet to be a home underdog this season.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 150.5 (-110).

The Bears defense is the real deal. Baylor forces opponents to use clock whether or not they turn the ball over or not.

While the Crimson Tide are giving up 74.7 points per game (PPG), the Bears are among the best defenses in college hoops. They allow just 59.3 PPG, the 13th fewest in the country. Baylor has hit the Under in four of its last five games.

With this being the only total in their last 18 games with an Over of 144 or higher, the Bears should be able to limit the Crimson Tide enough to make the Under the more attractive play.

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