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The Atlanta Braves (84-44) and San Francisco Giants (66-63) close out a 3-game set at Oracle Park Sunday. First pitch is at 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Atlanta leads 4-1
The Braves have dominated this series with a 7-3 victory Saturday and a 5-1 victory Friday. They’ve won 4 games in a row and are 8-2 over their last 10. Atlanta is the best team in baseball and is a hard battle each night.
The Giants have lost 4 of 5 and are just 6-14 over their last 20 games. They’ve fallen 1 1/2 games out of the final NL Wild Card spot. Not only do they have to face the buzzsaw that is Atlanta, but they’re going to have to do it with a bullpen game.
Braves at Giants projected starters
LHP Jared Shuster vs. RHP Tristan Beck
Shuster (4-2, 5.00 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 5.0 K/9 through 45 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 2 K June 24 against the Cincinnati Reds
- Is also 4-5 with a 5.77 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in 13 starts at Triple-A Gwinnett in 2023
Beck (3-2, 3.34 ERA) makes his 1st start and 29th appearance. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 67 1/3 IP.
- Last outing: 1 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 2 BB, 3 K with 25 pitches Wednesday against the Philadelphia Phillies
- Home/road splits: 3-1, 4.33 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, 6.6 K/9 in 35 1/3 IP at home vs. 0-1, 2.25 ERA, 0.78 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 on road
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Braves at Giants odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 10:54 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Braves -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Giants +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+135) | Giants +1.5 (-160)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Braves at Giants picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 7, Giants 4
Moneyline
The Giants had to use a bullpen game Saturday and went through 5 pitchers to cover all 9 innings. So it’ll be an uphill battle. The Giants are 20-14 against left-handed pitchers, but I just haven’t seen the kind of urgency from this team in order to side with them in this pick ’em.
Take the BRAVES (-120).
Run line/Against the spread
The Braves have cruised this weekend and are 34-28 on the RL on the road. They are 7-3 in the last 10 against the Giants. However, the ML is at such a solid price, I think we should stick with it.
PASS.
Over/Under
The Over is just 3-7 over the last 10 meetings between the teams and both teams are 3-7 O/U over their previous 10 games as well, but this one has an Over feel.
The Giants’ pen is taxed, and the Braves are bringing up someone that hasn’t started in the majors in 2 months. The Over cashed Saturday, and I’m willing to LEAN OVER 9.5 (-115).
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