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The Atlanta Braves (82-44) and San Francisco Giants (66-61) open up a 3-game set at Oracle Park Friday. First pitch is at 10:15 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Braves lead 2-1
The Braves head out on the road after taking 2 of 3 games from the New York Mets from Monday to Wednesday and 2 of 3 from the Giants last weekend. Atlanta is 7-3 over its last 10 and 13 1/2 games up in the NL East. The Braves are 13-10 against the NL West this year.
The Giants are in a bit of a rut after losing 2 of 3 to the Braves last weekend and the Philadelphia Phillies to start the week. They salvaged a game against the Phils Wednesday with an 8-6 victory in extras. They’re 12 1/2 out in the division and a half-game behind the Arizona Diamondbacks for the final NL Wild Card.
Braves at Giants projected starters
RHP Spencer Strider vs. RHP Logan Webb
Strider (14-4, 3.57 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 14.0 K/9 through 146 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 10 K vs. Giants last Friday
- 3 career starts vs Giants: 1-1, 4.60 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 23 K in 15 2/3 IP
Webb (9-9, 3.36 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 169 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 5 K against Braves last Friday
- Last 5 starts vs. Braves: 2-0, 2.18 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, 34 K in 33 IP
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Braves at Giants odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 9:37 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Braves -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Giants +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+105) | Giants +1.5 (-130)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Braves at Giants picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 4, Giants 3
Moneyline
Strider hasn’t allowed an earned run in 14 innings over his last 2 starts. I expect a lot of zeros and a lot of K’s. The Braves are 6-4 against the Giants over the last 10. The Giants are tough at home at 35-28, but they strike out an awful lot, which is a tough recipe to beat Strider.
Take the BRAVES (-160).
Run line/Against the spread
I’m staying away from the RL because 4 of the last 6 wins by Atlanta in this series were by a single run. They are also just 32-28 on the RL on the road, which says something for a team that’s 82-44 on the year.
PASS.
Over/Under
This is a small number, but the games between these teams just really haven’t been offensive. They totaled 8 runs in just 3 of the last 10 against one another. Each team is 4-6 O/U over their last 10 games. Go easy here, but LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-110).
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