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The Atlanta Braves (73-61) visit the Philadelphia Phillies (79-55) on Friday. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Braves lead 6-4
The Braves had a 3-game winning streak snapped on Thursday with a 5-4 loss to the Philadelphia Phillies and failing to cover as +151 road underdogs. 1B Matt Olson had 3 RBIs while RHP Grant Holmes (1 ER in 1 2/3 IP) took the loss.
The Phillies covered Thursday as -164 home favorites. LF Brandon Marsh had 3 RBIs and RF Nick Castellanos had 2.
Braves at Phillies projected starters
RHP Reynaldo Lopez vs. LHP Ranger Suarez
Lopez (7-4, 2.02 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 115 2/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 5-1 loss against Washington Nationals Sunday.
- Career vs. Phillies: 2-0, 2.37 ERA (19 IP, 5 ER), 15 H, 9 BB, 22 K in 3 starts
- Has allowed 1 ER in 11 IP vs. Phillies in 2 starts this season
Suarez (11-5, 2.82 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 124 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 11-2 win at Kansas City Royals Saturday.
- Career vs. Braves: 2-3, 3.72 ERA (58 IP, 24 ER), 47 H, 23 BB, 62 K in 9 starts and 18 appearances
- Took loss vs. Braves on July 6 (5 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 7 K
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Braves at Phillies odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:10 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Braves +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Phillies -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves +1.5 (-190) | Phillies -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Braves at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 4, Braves 3
Moneyline
BET PHILLIES (-135).
Philadelphia is 5-1 in its last 6 games and 2-1 in its last 3 against Atlanta. It has won 3 of its last 4 games at home and has limited opponents to 3 runs or fewer in 4 of its last 6 games while scoring 5 runs in 2 of its last 3 games. Atlanta has allowed 5 or more runs in 3 of its last 4 games.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The moneyline has better value for Philadelphia.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 8 (-105).
Lopez and Suarez are 2 of the top pitchers in the NL East and combined for 2 ER in 11 innings in their last starts. Atlanta has hit the Under in 7 of its last 10 games while Philadelphia has failed to hit the Over in 6 of its last 10. The Under has hit in 5 of the last 6 meetings between these teams.
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