The Atlanta Braves (42-32) and Philadelphia Phillies (39-35) meet Tuesday night at 7:05 p.m. ET to open a 3-game series at Citizens Bank Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: tied 2-2.
The Braves are looking to stay hot on the road. Atlanta is 9-2 over its last 11 games away from home. Over that stretch, the Braves have averaged 6.55 runs per game while allowing just 2.91.
The Phillies are back at home after a lengthy road trip, which included stops in San Diego, Dallas and Washington, D.C. The Phils went 7-4 on an 11-game trip and that despite logging just a .634 OPS at the plate. Philadelphia pitchers clocked a 3.53 ERA on the trip; they own a 3.46 mark since May 29.
Braves at Phillies projected starters
RHP Charlie Morton vs. RHP Zack Wheeler
Morton (4-3, 4.84 ERA) has made 14 starts, logging a 1.28 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 through 74 1/3 IP.
- Has fanned 32 batters — against just 1 walk — over his last 20 IP. Has allowed just 2 runs over his last 2 starts (14 IP).
- Has authored a 2.63 ERA across his last 5 starts against the Phillies.
Wheeler (6-4, 2.77 ERA) owns a 1.11 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 through 74 2/3 IP in 13 starts.
- Owns a 2.16 ERA over his last 5 outings against Atlanta.
- Has allowed just 2R across his last 5 starts at Citizens. Has recorded a 2.20 ERA at home over the last 3 years (2020-22).
Braves at Phillies odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 7:40 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Braves +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Phillies -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
- Run line (RL): Braves -1.5 (-165) | Phillies +1.5 (-205)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)
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Braves at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 5, Phillies 3
Money line
Atlanta has the hotter offense, and it’s one that performs quite well on the road. The Braves’ .738 road OPS ranks fourth in the league.
Morton is a fly-baller that has been a bit undone by a 15.1% home run rate on balls hit in the air. He gets helped by a friendly pitcher’s forecast (75 degrees, inward breeze) and is facing a Philadelphia club perhaps fatigued by its long road trip.
The Phillies are also a club that has surged against a suspect schedule of late.
BACK THE BRAVES (+100).
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Run line/Against the spread
PASS: It’s hard to fade Wheeler too much as he has been great thus far. If you’re on board with Atlanta, just take the even-money ML.
Over/Under
There are equal parts ammo for backing the Braves offense and pitching while also liking the Phillies overall pitching. Mix in two rested bullpens, and SITTING THIS ONE OUT makes the most sense.
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