The Atlanta Braves (75-41) and New York Mets (52-65) meet Sunday for the finale of a 4-game series. First pitch from Citi Field is set for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Braves lead 8-1
Atlanta won game 1 of Saturday’s doubleheader vs. New York 21-3 as a -218 road favorite and won game 2 Saturday 6-0 as a -233 road favorite. 1B Matt Olson hit 2 homers in Game 1 and now leads MLB with 42 HR. RHP Spencer Strider tossed 7 scoreless innings with 6 K’s in the nightcap.
The Braves have won 3-straight and are 6-4 in their last 10 overall and 38-21 on the road this season. New York has lost 3 straight and is 2-8 in its last 10 overall while slipping to 28-27 at home on the year.
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Braves at Mets projected starters
RHP Yonny Chirinos vs. RHP Kodai Senga
Chorinos (5-4, 4.83 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 5.2 K/9 through 76 1/3 IP for the Braves and Tampa Bay Rays.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 5 K in an 8-6 road win Tuesday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
- Career vs. New York: Win, 4 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 2 K in a relief appearance on the road May 16
Senga (8-6, 3.24 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 through 116 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 6 K in an 11-2 home win Monday vs. Chicago Cubs
- First career start vs. Atlanta
Braves at Mets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Braves -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Mets +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+125) | Mets +1.5 (-150)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Braves at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 8, Mets 3
Moneyline
BET BRAVES (-135).
The Braves are the much hotter team and have dominated the Mets in recent meetings, winning 6 straight and 8 of 9 this season. Atlanta is also a dominant road team whereas New York is a mediocre home team. All signs point to the Braves being able to complete the sweep.
Run line/Against the spread
BET BRAVES -1.5 (+125).
Only 1 of the last 10 meetings between these teams ended with a 1-run margin, so odds are it won’t happen here. I expect the Braves to win comfortably considering how hot the Braves are and how they have dominated the Mets, especially after routing New York in both games of Saturday’s doubleheader.
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Over/Under
LEAN OVER 9.5 (-115).
The Over is 7-3 in Atlanta’s last 10 overall and 5-0 in each of Chirinos’ last 5 starts.
This is only a lean because the Over/Under is 5-5 in the Mets’ last 10 games and the Under has hit in 5 of the 9 meetings between the clubs this year. The run line and moneyline are much safer bets for this game.
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