Atlanta Braves at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Atlanta Braves at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Atlanta Braves (54-47) and New York Mets (54-48) meet Friday for the 2nd game of a 4-game series. First pitch from Citi Field is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: New York leads 4-3

New York came away with a 3-2 win over Atlanta Thursday while covering as a +107 home underdog. LF Jeff McNeil went 2-for-4 and hit the walk-off RBI single in the bottom of the 10th.

Reliever Pierce Johnson was the losing pitcher as Atlanta has lost 5 straight games while the Mets increased their win streak to 4.

Braves at Mets projected starters

RHP Charlie Morton vs. RHP Kodai Senga

Morton (5-5, 3.92 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 103 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 4 K in a 3-2 win over St. Louis Saturday
  • Career vs. New York: 7-6, 3.58 ERA (130 2/3 IP, 52 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 across 23 starts and 1 relief appearance

Senga is set to make his 1st start of the year after missing the entire season thus far due to a shoulder strain and tricep injury.

  • Has a career 12-7 record with a 2.98 ERA in 29 starts
  • Career vs. Atlanta: 1-0, 4.50 ERA (6 IP, 3 ER), 4 H 2 BB, 7 K in 1 start

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Braves at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:46 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Braves +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Mets -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves +1.5 (-175) | Mets -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Braves at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, Braves 3

Moneyline

LEAN METS (-145).

New York enters as the much hotter team, being 7-3 in its last 10 while the Braves are only 3-7 over that same span. The Mets have also won back-to-back games vs. Atlanta, but the teams are 5-5 in their last 10 meetings.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Atlanta should cover here as a +1.5 (-175) underdog, especially with how competitive recent matchups between these squads have been, but the line is set too heavily to risk betting on. Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-110).

The Under has hit in 2 of New York’s last 3 and is 4-2 in its last 6 games. For Atlanta, the Under is 4-1 in its last 5 on the road and 7-3 in its last 10 overall.

The Under has also hit in each of the last 4 Atlanta-New York meetings.

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