Atlanta Braves at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Atlanta Braves at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Atlanta Braves (51-40) and Arizona Diamondbacks (46-47) wrap up a 4-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Chase Field is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 5-1

The Braves lost 7-5 on Wednesday to halt their 4-game winning streak. Diamondbacks SS Geraldo Perdomo was the offensive hero, going 3-for-3 with a pair of doubles, 2 runs scored and an RBI.

The Diamondbacks’ offense has been on fire lately, going for 6.8 runs per game across the previous 10 outings. The Over is 2-0-1 in this series, and 8-0-1 across the past 9 games for Arizona. The total has gone high at a 12-2-1 clip in the previous 15 contests, too.

LHP Max Fried takes the ball for the Braves. He allowed 8 runs in just 4 1/3 IP in a wild 9-8 home win opposite RHP Brandon Pfaadt and the Diamondbacks on April 6 as the Over easily cashed.

Pfaadt rolled his ankle in his most recent start, but manager Torey Lovullo confirmed the right-hander is on track for Thursday’s outing.

Braves at Diamondbacks projected starters

LHP Max Fried vs. RHP Brandon Pfaadt

Fried (7-4, 3.18 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 102 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 5 ER, 11 H (2 HR), 1 BB, 4 K in 8-6 home setback vs. Philadelphia Phillies last Friday
  • 2024 road splits: 5-2, 2.90 ERA (59 IP, 19 ER), 0.93 WHIP, .174 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 19 BB, 55 K in 10 starts (1 CG)
  • 2024 vs. Diamondbacks: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 8 R (7 ER), 10 H (1 HR), 1 BB, 6 K in 9-8 home win April 6
  • Career vs. Diamondbacks: 1-0, 4.84 ERA (22 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.57 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 in 4 starts

Pfaadt (3-6, 4.19 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 107 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 10-8 road loss vs. San Diego Padres Friday
  • 2024 home splits: 2-2, 3.47 ERA (49 1/3 IP, 19 ER), 1.16 WHIP, .242 OBA, 7 HR, 11 BB, 47 K in 8 starts
  • 2024 vs. Braves: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 8 H (1 HR), 1 BB, 7 K in 9-8 road loss April 6 in only career start vs. Braves

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Braves at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:39 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Braves -134 (bet $134 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +114 (bet $100 to win $114)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+116) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -114 | U: -106)

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Braves at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 6, Diamondbacks 3

Moneyline

The BRAVES (-134) are a solid play to bounce back behind the southpaw Fried. The Diamondbacks (+114) have managed a dismal 13-18 record against left-handed starting pitching.

In addition, Arizona is just 3-5 in the past 8 home games. Atlanta has posted 4 wins in the past 5 outings despite Wednesday’s setback.

Run line/Against the spread

The BRAVES -1.5 (+116) failed to get the job done in Wednesday’s game, losing outright. However, in Atlanta’s past 11 victories dating back to June 19, the Braves have won 9 times by 2 or more runs. So, if you like the Braves, you should like them to cover on the run line, too.

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Over/Under

OVER 8 (-114) is worth a look, but go lightly with a half-unit play at most.

The Over is 5-1-1 in the past 7 meetings in this series, while going 7-2-1 in the past 10 battles in since June 4, 2023. In addition, the Over has hit at a 3-0-1 clip in the past 4 meetings at Chase Field.

The Diamondbacks are also on quite the Over roll, cashing high on the total at an 8-0-1 clip in the past 9 outings.

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