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The Atlanta Braves (50-39) and Arizona Diamondbacks (45-46) play the 2nd contest of a 4-game series Tuesday. First pitch from Chase Field is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Braves lead 4-0
The Braves erased a 3-1 deficit after 6 innings, rallying for 2 runs in the top of the 9th inning to force extras. Atlanta scored 2 in the top of the 11th inning to take a 5-3 lead, while Arizona was only able to notch 1 run in the bottom of the 11th to fall 5-4. The run the Diamondbacks scored ended up helping the total push.
Atlanta has won 3 in a row after going just 1-4 in the previous 5 outings, while the Under is 2-0-1 in the span. The road victory was just the 2nd in the past 5 tries away from home, too.
Braves LHP Chris Sale had his start pushed back from Monday night to Tuesday, as manager Brian Snitker wanted to keep all of his starting pitchers fresh entering the All-Star break. Sale is also scheduled to pitch Sunday against the San Diego Padres, eliminating him from the possibility of starting the All-Star Game on July 16.
Arizona lost for just the 2nd time in the past 6 games, but it was able to score at least 4 runs for the 8th consecutive outing. The Over 6-0-1 in the past 7 games, and the total has gone high at a 6-2-1 clip in the past 9 contests at home.
Braves at Diamondbacks projected starters
LHP Chris Sale vs. RHP Zac Gallen
Sale (11-3, 2.71 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 0.91 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 in 99 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 9 K in 3-1 home victory vs. San Francisco Giants last Wednesday
- 2024 road splits: 3-3, 2.70 ERA (43 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 0.97 WHIP, .200 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 11 BB, 60 K in 7 starts
- 2024 vs. Diamondbacks: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 5-2 home victory April 7
- Career vs. Diamondbacks: 2-0, 2.53 ERA (10 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 0.94 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 in 3 appearances (2 starts)
Gallen (6-4, 3.06 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 67 2/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 9-3 road victory vs. Los Angeles Dodgers July 4
- 2024 home splits: 4-2, 1.72 ERA (36 2/3 IP, 7 ER), 0.95 WHIP, .202 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 9 BB, 38 K in 6 starts
- Career vs. Braves: 2-0, 2.45 ERA (25 2/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.05 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 in 4 starts (1 CG, SHO)
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Braves at Diamondbacks odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:11 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Braves -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+128) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-154)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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Braves at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 4, Diamondbacks 3
Moneyline
The BRAVES (-130) will have a rested 11-game winner in Sale, as he was pushed back a day to give him a little extra break. He gets a little tougher of a matchup, as RHP Bryce Elder was recalled to start Monday opposite the rookie RHP Yilber Diaz. Instead, Sale must now face Gallen, who has been money at home.
Still, Atlanta found a way on Monday, and it will do so again with its All-Star southpaw on the bump. The D-Backs are just 13-17 in 30 tries against a left-handed starting pitcher this season.
Run line/Against the spread
The DIAMONDBACKS +1.5 (-154) are a little on the pricey side if you need a little bit of insurance, but they’re not a bad play catching the run and a half.
Arizona is perfect on the run line in the past 6 games as an underdog, including 4 outright victories.
Over/Under
UNDER 7.5 (-100) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.
Know that you’ll be going against the trends, as Arizona has cashed the Over at a 6-0-1 clip in the past 7 games. However, the Under is 3-1 in the past 4 starts by Gallen.
The Under is 2-0-1 in the past 3 for the Braves, and 11-2-2 in the previous 15 outings. The total has gone low in Sale’s past 2 starts, too, and it cashed in his start April 7 at home against the Snakes, too.
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