[gambcom-standard rankid=”4141″ ]
Update 6:13 p.m. ET: Wednesday game between the New York Mets and Atlanta Braves was postponed due to heavy rains ahead of Hurricane Helene. Thursday’s game was also postponed. While the regular season was scheduled to end Sunday, the Mets and Braves will make up the 2 games with a traditional doubleheader in Atlanta Monday, starting at 1:10 p.m. ET.
Original column below (published Sept. 25, 1:39 a.m. ET)
The New York Mets (87-70) and Atlanta Braves (86-71) play the middle game of a 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Truist Park is slated for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mets vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Braves lead 6-5
The Mets could not get the bats going in a 5-1 loss against the Braves on Tuesday night. 3B Mark Vientos‘ solo HR was the only offense New York could muster. They are currently 2nd in the NL Wild Card race, a half-game up on the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Atlanta’s much-needed win moved them 1 game behind the Mets and a half-game behind Arizona for the 3rd Wild Card spot. Starter Spencer Schwellenbach allowed 1 ER in 7 IP and CF Michael Harris II went 3-for-4 with a HR, a double and 2 RBI. DH Marcell Ozuna also parked his 39th homer of the season.
Mets at Braves projected starters
LHP David Peterson vs. LHP Chris Sale
Peterson (9-3, 3.08 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 114 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 5 R (4 ER), 8 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 12-2 home victory against Philadelphia Phillies Friday
- 2024 road splits: 5-1, 2.88 ERA (65 2/3 IP, 21 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 5.8 K/9 in 11 starts
- Last start vs. Braves: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 9-2 road loss July 28
- Career vs. Braves: 3-5, 5.33 ERA (50 2/3 IP, 30 ER) 47 H, 22 BB, 64 K) in 11 appearance (10 starts)
Sale (18-3, 2.38 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 in 177 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 15-3 win at Cincinnati Reds Thursday
- 2024 home splits: 10-0, 2.28 ERA (62 1/3 IP, 23 R (22 ER), 0.99 WHIP, 10.7 K/9 in 14 starts
- Last start vs. Mets: No-decision, 7 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 3-2 road loss July 25
- Career vs. Mets: 1-0, 2.70 ERA (23 IP, 7 ER) 13 H, 5 BB, 31 K) in 4 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Mets at Braves odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 1:30 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mets +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Braves -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-145) | Braves -1.5 (+120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
[gambcom-standard rankid=”4132″ ]
Mets at Braves picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 4, Mets 2
Moneyline
PASS.
It’s really hard to bet against the Braves (-190) when Sale is on the mound, so I won’t do it. I’ll look to the run line to put a wager down on this game.
Run line/Against the spread
BET BRAVES -1.5 (+120).
Atlanta is in a tight race for the postseason, and playing at home, where the Braves are 43-33, gives them a key advantage. With the likely NL Cy Young winner starting, Sale brings a perfect record at Truist Park (10-0) and has surrendered just 3 ER over his last 4 home outings (26 IP).
On the other side, Peterson has had a rough time against Atlanta, holding a 1-3 record and a 5.02 ERA in his last 5 starts against them. With everything on the line, the Braves are set to secure a critical win.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 7.5 (-115).
The Under has hit in 6 of their last 8 meetings, highlighting a pattern of low-scoring contests. The Mets have gone Under in their last 2 games, while the Braves have seen the same in 4 of their last 6 games. Sale has been outstanding, not allowing more than 2 ER in a game since June 1, and the Under has cashed in 4 of his last 6 starts.
Meanwhile, Peterson has kept his runs allowed low, giving up more than 2 ER in a game just twice in his last 10 outings. With both pitchers in great form, a pitching duel seems likely, making the Under a solid bet.
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
[gambcom-standard rankid=”6305″ ]
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow @DrewPhelps05 on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.
Fantasy baseball help from BaseballHQ.com:
Subscribe now to dominate the competition.
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]