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The Atlanta Braves (55-48) visit the New York Mets (55-49) on Sunday for the 3rd game in a 4-game series. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Mets lead 5-4
The Braves snapped a 6-game losing streak on Saturday with a 4-0 win to cover as +102 road underdogs. Four Atlanta players had an RBI while RHP Spencer Schwellenbach allowed 0 ER in 7 IP with 11 strikeouts to pick up the win.
The Mets had a 5-game winning streak snapped with the loss as -111 home favorites. They were held to just 4 hits while RHP Tylor Megill allowed 4 ER in 6 IP to take the loss.
The Braves are in 2nd place in the NL East, a half-game ahead of the Mets.
Braves at Mets projected starters
RHP Reynaldo Lopez vs. LHP David Peterson
Lopez (7-4, 2.12 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 3.19 BB/9 and 8.85 K/9 in 101 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 4-1 loss against Cincinnati Reds Monday
- Career vs. Mets: 2-2, 2.66 ERA (20 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 18 H, 13 BB, 18 K in 3 starts
- Last start vs. Mets: Win, 6 IP, 0 R, 3 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 6-5 victory April 9
Peterson (5-0, 3.14 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.48 WHIP, 4.25 BB/9 and 6.66 K/9 in 48 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 6-4 win at Miami Marlins Monday
- Career vs. Braves: 3-4, 5.12 ERA (45 2/3 IP, 26 ER), 43 H, 19 BB, 57 K in 9 starts; last outing in 2023
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Braves at Mets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:21 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Braves -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Mets -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+155) | Mets +1.5 (-190)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Braves at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 4, Braves 3
Moneyline
BET METS (-110).
While Lopez has been an All-Star caliber starter for the Braves, they have lost 3 of his last 4 starts. Atlanta is just 3-7 in its last 10 games, including 1-6 in the last 7, and the Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 road games. They have scored 4 runs or fewer in each of their last 6 games while the Mets have scored 8 or more in 2 of their last 4.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
There is no value on the run line is this matchup.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 8 (-115).
Both Lopez and Peterson have low ERAs and do well at limiting runners. The Braves have scored 4 or fewer runs in each of their last 6 games while the Mets have scored 4 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 9 games. Expect a slower game due to top pitchers.
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