[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]
The Atlanta Braves (51-40) and Arizona Diamondbacks (46-47) wrap up a 4-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Chase Field is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Braves lead 5-1
The Braves lost 7-5 on Wednesday to halt their 4-game winning streak. Diamondbacks SS Geraldo Perdomo was the offensive hero, going 3-for-3 with a pair of doubles, 2 runs scored and an RBI.
The Diamondbacks’ offense has been on fire lately, going for 6.8 runs per game across the previous 10 outings. The Over is 2-0-1 in this series, and 8-0-1 across the past 9 games for Arizona. The total has gone high at a 12-2-1 clip in the previous 15 contests, too.
LHP Max Fried takes the ball for the Braves. He allowed 8 runs in just 4 1/3 IP in a wild 9-8 home win opposite RHP Brandon Pfaadt and the Diamondbacks on April 6 as the Over easily cashed.
Pfaadt rolled his ankle in his most recent start, but manager Torey Lovullo confirmed the right-hander is on track for Thursday’s outing.
Braves at Diamondbacks projected starters
LHP Max Fried vs. RHP Brandon Pfaadt
Fried (7-4, 3.18 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 102 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 5 ER, 11 H (2 HR), 1 BB, 4 K in 8-6 home setback vs. Philadelphia Phillies last Friday
- 2024 road splits: 5-2, 2.90 ERA (59 IP, 19 ER), 0.93 WHIP, .174 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 19 BB, 55 K in 10 starts (1 CG)
- 2024 vs. Diamondbacks: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 8 R (7 ER), 10 H (1 HR), 1 BB, 6 K in 9-8 home win April 6
- Career vs. Diamondbacks: 1-0, 4.84 ERA (22 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.57 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 in 4 starts
Pfaadt (3-6, 4.19 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 107 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 10-8 road loss vs. San Diego Padres Friday
- 2024 home splits: 2-2, 3.47 ERA (49 1/3 IP, 19 ER), 1.16 WHIP, .242 OBA, 7 HR, 11 BB, 47 K in 8 starts
- 2024 vs. Braves: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 8 H (1 HR), 1 BB, 7 K in 9-8 road loss April 6 in only career start vs. Braves
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Braves at Diamondbacks odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:39 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Braves -134 (bet $134 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +114 (bet $100 to win $114)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+116) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-140)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -114 | U: -106)
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]
Braves at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 6, Diamondbacks 3
Moneyline
The BRAVES (-134) are a solid play to bounce back behind the southpaw Fried. The Diamondbacks (+114) have managed a dismal 13-18 record against left-handed starting pitching.
In addition, Arizona is just 3-5 in the past 8 home games. Atlanta has posted 4 wins in the past 5 outings despite Wednesday’s setback.
Run line/Against the spread
The BRAVES -1.5 (+116) failed to get the job done in Wednesday’s game, losing outright. However, in Atlanta’s past 11 victories dating back to June 19, the Braves have won 9 times by 2 or more runs. So, if you like the Braves, you should like them to cover on the run line, too.
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
Over/Under
OVER 8 (-114) is worth a look, but go lightly with a half-unit play at most.
The Over is 5-1-1 in the past 7 meetings in this series, while going 7-2-1 in the past 10 battles in since June 4, 2023. In addition, the Over has hit at a 3-0-1 clip in the past 4 meetings at Chase Field.
The Diamondbacks are also on quite the Over roll, cashing high on the total at an 8-0-1 clip in the past 9 outings.
[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]
If you’re looking to play some games of your own, check out the online casino real money action available or play on social casinos instead for free.
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.
Fantasy baseball help from BaseballHQ.com:
Subscribe now to dominate the competition.
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]