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The New York Yankees (49-22) and Boston Red Sox (35-34) meet for the opener of a 3-game series Friday. First pitch from Fenway Park is set for 6:30 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Boston won 9-4 last season
The Yankees lost 4-3 to the the Kansas City Royals on Thursday while failing to cover as a -159 road favorite. Reliever Clay Holmes gave up a 2-run RBI single in the bottom of the 9th to blow New York’s 3-2 lead and end a 4-game winning streak.
Boston routed the Philadelphia Phillies 9-3 Thursday while covering as a -108 home favorite. The Red Sox have won back-to-back games and are 15-19 at home.
Yankees at Red Sox projected starters
RHP Luis Gil vs. RHP Brayan Bello
Gil (8-1, 2.04 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 0.93 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 75 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 5 K in a 6-4 win over the Los Angeles Dodgers Sunday
- Career vs. Boston: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (4 2/3 IP, 0 ER), 3 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 1 start
Bello (6-3, 4.78 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 58 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 9 H, 3 BB, 2 K in a 6-1 loss at the Chicago White Sox Saturday
- Career vs. Yankees: 2-2, 1.45 ERA (31 IP, 5 ER), 25 H, 9 BB, 25 K in 5 starts
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Yankees at Red Sox odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:57 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Yankees -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Red Sox +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+100) | Red Sox +1.5 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Yankees at Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 7, Red Sox 5
Moneyline
PASS.
Avoid paying the juice and bet New York on the run line.
Run line/Against the spread
BET YANKEES -1.5 (+100).
I like the Yankees to cover here as -1.5 (+100) favorites, especially as they are 43-28 ATS this season.
New York won 3 of the last 4 meetings with Boston last season after losing 7 in a row to the Red Sox. The Yankees are 7-3 in their past 10 games and 3-1 in their last 4 road games. Boston is only 2-4 in its last 6 home games vs. AL teams. Both teams are 4-1 in the last 5 games.
Also, only 4 of the 13 meetings last season had a 1-run difference and 3 of the 4 Yankees wins were by multiple runs.
Over/Under
BET OVER 9 (-115).
The Over has hit in 3 consecutive games for Boston and 7 of its last 10 games. For New York, the Over is 6-3 in its last 9 games. But be aware that the Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these teams in Boston.
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