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The Atlanta Braves (23-12) and New York Mets (18-19) meet for the 2nd game of a 3-game series Saturday. First pitch from Citi Field is set for 4:10 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 2-2
Atlanta has won 3 straight after beating New York 4-2 in Friday’s series opener while cashing as a -148 road favorite. The Braves hit 3 HRs and jumped out to a 4-0 lead by the end of the 3rd inning.
New York had only 4 hits to Atlanta’s 7 and 8 total bases to Atlanta’s 16. LHP Jose Quintana picked up the loss, allowing 4 earned runs on 6 hits and 2 walks with 3 K’s in 5 innings. Friday’s victory ended a 2-game win streak for the Mets.
Braves at Mets projected starters
LHP Max Fried vs. RHP Christian Scott
Fried (2-1, 4.23 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 38 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 5-1 setback at Los Angeles Dodgers Sunday
- Career vs. Mets: 8-5, 2.65 ERA (102 IP, 30 ER), 89 H, 30 BB, 108 K across 17 starts and 5 relief appearances
Scott (0-0, 1.35 ERA) makes his 2nd start. The rookie allowed 1 earned run on 5 hits and 1 walk with 6 K’s in 6 2/3 innings in his MLB debut, a 3-1 loss at the Tampa Bay Rays May 4.
- 2024 stats with Triple-A Syracuse: 3-0, 3.20 ERA (25 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 0.71 WHIP in 5 starts
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Braves at Mets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:35 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Braves -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Mets +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+110) | Mets +1.5 (-135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Braves at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 4, Mets 3
Moneyline
BET BRAVES (-155).
Atlanta has won 3 consecutive games, while New York has lost 4 of its last 6. The Braves are also 2-1 in their last 3 matchups vs. the Mets overall and 3-1 in the last 4 meetings in New York.
Be aware that the Braves are only 2-5 in their last 7 road games.
Run line/Against the spread
BET METS +1.5 (-135).
Four of the last 8 matchups between these teams have finished with a 1-run margin, and 2 of the last 3 of those instances ended with the Mets taking the loss.
With both teams being equally hot and the recent series between these squads being so close, this is a very safe bet.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 7.5 (-115).
The Under has hit in 4 consecutive games for Atlanta and is 8-1-1 in its last 10 games. For New York, the Under is 2-1 in its last 3 games overall and is 5-1 in its last 6 at home. The Under has also hit in 2 of the last 3 Atlanta-New York matchups in Queens.
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