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The Miami Marlins (6-19) and Atlanta Braves (16-6) meet Wednesday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from Truist Park is set for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Atlanta leads 2-0
Atlanta routed the Marlins 5-0 Tuesday while cashing as a -258 home favorite. LHP Max Fried pitched a complete 9 innings, allowing 0 earned runs on 3 hits and 0 walks with 6 strikeouts. The Braves scored 2 runs in the 2nd inning and 3 runs in the 6th.
LHP Trevor Rogers was credited with the loss, pitching 5 2/3 innings while allowing 3 earned runs on 7 hits and 1 walk with 4 K’s. Miami only had 3 total bases in the loss as 7 Marlins hitters went 0 for 3 or worse vs. Atlanta.
Marlins at Braves projected starters
RHP Sixto Sanchez vs. RHP Reynaldo Lopez
Sanchez (0-1, 6.14 ERA) makes his 1st start and 8th appearance. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 3.7 K/9 in 7 1/3 innings.
- 2024 road splits: 0-1, 11.57 ERA (2 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 5 H, 1 BB, 0 K in 3 relief appearances
- Career vs. Atlanta: 1-0, 3.60 ERA (10 IP, 4 ER), 7 H, 6 BB, 9 K across 2 starts and 1 relief appearance
Lopez (2-0, 0.50 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 0.94 WHIP, 9.0 BB/9 and 3.0 K/9 in 18 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 6-2 road win over Houston Astros April 16
- Career vs. Miami: 0-1, 3.60 ERA (10 IP, 4 ER), 7 H, 3 BB, 11 K across 1 start and 2 relief appearances
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Marlins at Braves odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:40 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Marlins +188 (bet $100 to win $188) | Braves -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-105) | Braves -1.5 (-114)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: -102)
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Marlins at Braves picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 7, Marlins 4
Moneyline
PASS.
I like Atlanta (-225) to pick up the win here, but the Braves are not worth the risk of betting on as such heavy favorites. Bet on the spread and/or O/U instead.
Run line/Against the spread
BET BRAVES -1.5 (-114).
Atlanta has won each of its last 3 matchups vs. the Marlins, and none of Atlanta’s last 6 wins vs. Miami came by a margin of fewer than 2 runs. The Braves have also been the much better team ATS this season at 12-10, while the Marlins are 8-17.
The Braves are also the much better team in this matchup, making this bet even more favorable.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 9 (-120).
The Over has hit in 7 of the last 10 Miami-Atlanta matchups overall and is 3-2 in Atlanta’s last 5 wins vs. the Marlins. The Over has also been slightly safer for both teams this season at 13-12 for the Marlins on the year and 12-9-1 for the Braves.
This is only a lean because the Under is 3-1 in Miami’s last 4 and has hit in 2 of Atlanta’s last 3 games.
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