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The Air Force Falcons (6-0) visit the Navy Midshipmen (3-3) on Saturday. Kickoff from Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, Md., is set for noon ET (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Air Force vs. Navy odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Air Force knocked off Wyoming 34-27 last week, but failed to cover as a 12.5-point home favorite. QB Zac Larrier went 6 of 9 for 58 yards and a TD while rushing 20 times for 111 yards and a TD. The Falcons gained 356 yards on the ground with 3 TDs as 4 players rushed more than 60 yards.
Navy beat Charlotte 14-0 last week to cover as a 3.5-point road favorite. QB Braxton Woodson went 5 of 14 for 85 yards and a TD through the air while carrying the ball 18 times for 58 yards on the ground. FB Alex Tecza was Navy’s leading rusher with 6 carries for 75 yards and a TD. The Midshipmen have now won back-to-back games for the first time this season.
Air Force is No. 22 in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports
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Air Force at Navy odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 9:10 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Air Force -400 (bet $400 to win $100) | Navy +300 (bet $100 to win $300)
- Against the spread (ATS): Air Force -10.5 (-105) | Navy +10.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 34.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Air Force at Navy picks and predictions
Prediction
Air Force 27, Navy 16
Moneyline
PASS.
At -400 odds, there is no money to be made betting on the Falcons. They are the rightful favorite in this matchup having not lost a game with their offense looking dominant in each of the victories.
Against the spread
LEAN AIR FORCE -10.5 (-105).
While Navy is playing at home, it has not played well this season. Its 2 dominant wins came against far less superior teams than that of what it will see when it faces Air Force.
On the reverse, Air Force has looked great this season with only a single game being within 1 possession. Its offense has looked good, but its defense has looked even better. Expect a statement victory from the Falcons.
Over/Under
BET OVER 34.5 (-105).
While both teams are run-heavy, both offenses have been high-powered this season. Air Force has scored at least 34 points in all but 1 game this season while Navy has scored at least 24 points in 3 of its 6 games. Expect the clock will continuously run in this game, but also expect many big plays leading to a lot of points.
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