The New York Yankees (39-31) and Boston Red Sox (35-35) meet for the finale of a 3-game series on Sunday Night Baseball. First pitch from Fenway Park is set for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Red Sox lead 3-1
Saturday’s Game 2 was postponed and is scheduled for 12:35 ET as the 1st game of a Father’s Day doubleheader.
Boston won 15-5 as -122 home favorites on Friday after the 1st 3 matchups this season were close games. New York scored in the top of the 1st inning, but the Red Sox scored 13 runs between the 1st and 4th innings to put the game out of reach quickly.
The Yankees have dropped back-to-back games and have lost 6 of their last 10. Boston has won 2 straight after going 1-2 in 3 straight extra-inning games.
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Yankees at Red Sox projected starters
RHP Luis Severino vs. RHP Brayan Bello
Severino (0-1, 6.48 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.48 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 25 innings.
- Last outing: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 4 K in a 7-6 road win Tuesday vs. New York Mets
- Career vs. Boston: 5-6 with a 3.97 ERA (77 IP, 34 ER), 67 H, 21 BB, 85 K across 15 appearances (13 starts)
Bello (3-4, 3.78 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 52 1/3 innings.
- Last outing: No-decision, 7 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 3 K in a 3-2 road win Sunday vs. New York Yankees
- Career vs. New York: 0-2 with a 1.50 ERA (18 IP, 3 ER), 15 H, 13 K, 6.5 K/9 through 3 starts
Yankees at Red Sox odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook’s; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:06 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Yankees +116 (bet $100 to win $116) | Red Sox -136 (bet $136 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-182) | Red Sox -1.5 (+150)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -122 | U: +100)
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Yankees at Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 5, Red Sox 3
Moneyline
YANKEES (+115).
The Red Sox have looked good against New York this season but the Yankees are still 7-3 in the last 10 matchups overall and are a better road team than the Red Sox are a home team. The Yankees 18-14 on the road compared to Boston’s 19-18 home record.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
I believe in the Yankees to cover this bet, but the line is not worth the juice. Bet on the moneyline and/or O/U instead.
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Over/Under
BET UNDER 9 (+100).
For Boston the Under is 6-4 in their last 10 games overall and 5-2 in their last 7 games overall, including stretch of 4-straight games hitting on the Under. For New York the Under is 6-3-1 in their last 10 overall, also including a stretch of 4-straight games hitting on the Under. The Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings overall.
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