The Boston Red Sox (35-35) welcome the New York Yankees (39-31) to Fenway Stadium Saturday. First pitch in the 2nd of the 3-game series is set for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Boston leads 3-1.
The Yankees sit 3rd in the AL East, a division dominated by Tampa Bay. They are 18-14 on the road this season yet just 3-6 over their last 9. New York lost 15-5 to Boston Friday.
Boston, on the other hand, is 19-18 at home and sits last in the division despite a .500 record. It is 4-3 over its last 7 games.
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]
Yankees at Red Sox projected starters
RHP Clarke Schmidt vs. RHP Brayan Bello
Schmidt (2-6, 4.70 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 67 IP.
- This is Schmidt’s first season with double-digit starts despite appearing in 29 games last season
- He is coming off a 5 1/3-inning, 1-earned run performance against Boston June 11.
- The Yankees are 4-10 with Schmidt on the mound
Bello (3-4, 3.78 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 52 1/3 IP.
- Bello’s last start was against Schmidt June 11, pitching 7 innings and allowing just 2 earned runs in the Red Sox’s 3-2 extra-innings win
- The Red Sox are 6-4 in his 10 starts but are just 1-3 in his last 4
Yankees at Red Sox odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:15 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Yankees +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Red Sox -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-185) | Red Sox -1.5 (+150)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 9/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!
Yankees at Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 6, Red Sox 4
Moneyline
BET YANKEES (+105).
The Yankees have been the 4th-best team in the MLB following a loss, posting a 19-11 record. They were destroyed by Boston Friday and have proven to bounce back well.
The Red Sox are also in the bottom half of the league in win percentage as a favorite, just 16-13 overall. They also haven’t fared well in Bello’s starts recently.
Considering both teams’ trends in this position, take YANKEES (+105).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
There just isn’t much value to be had here.
The Yankees are too expensive to play at +1.5 (-185), and the Red Sox, just given the reasoning above, aren’t worth a play at -1.5 (+150) despite the alluring value. Ultimately, avoid the run line here.
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 9 (-105).
The Red Sox have been profitable on the Over this season, posting a 39-30-1 O/U record this season. They are 2-1 O/U in their last 3 games. Boston is 13-13-1 O/U at home.
The Yankees have scored at least 5 runs in 2 of their last 3 games and are 2-0-1 O/U in those as well.
The recent trends for both teams suggest the OVER 9 (-105).
[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]