Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia Phillies (20-20) and San Francisco Giants (17-23) meet Monday as they open a 3-game series. First pitch at Oracle Park is slated for 9:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies at Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Giants won last year’s series 5-1

Philadelphia lost 4-0 on Sunday at the Colorado Rockies, snapping a 5-game win streak. Phillies pitching has registered a 2.33 ERA, 0.87 WHIP over its last 6 games.

San Francisco heads into this series having lost 3 in a row. A Giants offense that averaged 4.82 runs per game through April 26 has scored just 3.88 RPG since.

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Phillies at Giants projected starters

LHP Bailey Falter vs. LHP Alex Wood

Falter (0-6, 5.75 ERA) is starting his 8th game. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 in 36 innings.

  • Has allowed 9 R in his last 8 IP
  • Clocked a 3.86 ERA in 84 IP last season
  • Swinging strikes (8.2%) are down significantly from last year’s 11% figure

Wood (0-0, 2.45 ERA) owns a 1.64 WHIP, 5.7 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 11 innings across 4 games (3 starts).

  • Figures to see more of a left lean in the Phillies lineup than with most clubs: Has held left-handed bats under a .450 OPS 2022-23 and to a tidy .611 mark for his career
  • Making his 2nd start off the IL (hamstring), but tag that note with an asterisk: Wood went just 1 inning in a planned short outing Friday to allow him to be available for this start

Phillies at Giants odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:09 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Phillies -102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Giants -116 (bet $116 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-200) | Giants -1.5 (+164)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Phillies at Giants picks and predictions

Prediction

Giants 6, Phillies 5

Moneyline

Analytics on both sides of the ball point to these 2 clubs operating near expectations. Aside from separators in the mound matchups, this series does not offer up much in the way of factors to exploit.

Wood’s return from injury creates a question on the home side. Falter has likely deserved a slightly better fate, but he’s been running into a lot of bats and has not been sharp recently.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

A juice-drowned option here: PASS.

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Over/Under

In the last 5 Philly-Frisco meetings at Oracle, the Over has gone 4-1.

There are question marks in the starting pitcher matchup, and the Giants bullpen has thus far figured as a bottom-3rd group. Both offenses were 1st-division types a year ago, but have fallen just below average so far in 2023.

On a breeze-blowing-out-night and both starters not being proficient ground-ball inducers, TAKE THE OVER 9 (-115). At the price, make this one a partial-unit play.

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