The Philadelphia Phillies (20-20) and San Francisco Giants (17-23) meet Monday as they open a 3-game series. First pitch at Oracle Park is slated for 9:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies at Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Giants won last year’s series 5-1
Philadelphia lost 4-0 on Sunday at the Colorado Rockies, snapping a 5-game win streak. Phillies pitching has registered a 2.33 ERA, 0.87 WHIP over its last 6 games.
San Francisco heads into this series having lost 3 in a row. A Giants offense that averaged 4.82 runs per game through April 26 has scored just 3.88 RPG since.
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Phillies at Giants projected starters
LHP Bailey Falter vs. LHP Alex Wood
Falter (0-6, 5.75 ERA) is starting his 8th game. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 in 36 innings.
- Has allowed 9 R in his last 8 IP
- Clocked a 3.86 ERA in 84 IP last season
- Swinging strikes (8.2%) are down significantly from last year’s 11% figure
Wood (0-0, 2.45 ERA) owns a 1.64 WHIP, 5.7 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 11 innings across 4 games (3 starts).
- Figures to see more of a left lean in the Phillies lineup than with most clubs: Has held left-handed bats under a .450 OPS 2022-23 and to a tidy .611 mark for his career
- Making his 2nd start off the IL (hamstring), but tag that note with an asterisk: Wood went just 1 inning in a planned short outing Friday to allow him to be available for this start
Phillies at Giants odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:09 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Phillies -102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Giants -116 (bet $116 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-200) | Giants -1.5 (+164)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Phillies at Giants picks and predictions
Prediction
Giants 6, Phillies 5
Moneyline
Analytics on both sides of the ball point to these 2 clubs operating near expectations. Aside from separators in the mound matchups, this series does not offer up much in the way of factors to exploit.
Wood’s return from injury creates a question on the home side. Falter has likely deserved a slightly better fate, but he’s been running into a lot of bats and has not been sharp recently.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
A juice-drowned option here: PASS.
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Over/Under
In the last 5 Philly-Frisco meetings at Oracle, the Over has gone 4-1.
There are question marks in the starting pitcher matchup, and the Giants bullpen has thus far figured as a bottom-3rd group. Both offenses were 1st-division types a year ago, but have fallen just below average so far in 2023.
On a breeze-blowing-out-night and both starters not being proficient ground-ball inducers, TAKE THE OVER 9 (-115). At the price, make this one a partial-unit play.
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