The Miami Marlins (12-13) and Atlanta Braves (17-8) cap off a 4-game series on Thursday with 1st pitch at Truist Park slated for 12:20 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Braves lead 3-0
The Marlins coughed up a late lead in Wednesday’s loss at Atlanta, Miami led 4-0 only to lose 6-4. The Fish tote a 4-game losing streak into Thursday’s game.
The streaky Braves beginning April 3: won 4, lost 3, won 8, lost 4, won 3. Atlanta has scored 24 runs over the 1st 3 games of this series.
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]
Marlins at Braves projected starters
LHP Braxton Garrett vs. RHP Kyle Wright
Garrett (1-0, 2.84 ERA) is making his 4th start (5th appearance). He has a 1.42 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 19 IP.
- Has allowed just 2 ER over his last 11 1/3 IP
- Owns a 3.29 ERA across 3 career starts against Atlanta (2021-22)
- Figures to see a right-heavy Braves lineup: has yielded a career .825 OPS against right-handed bats and a .636 OPS vs. lefties
Wright (0-1, 5.93 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.68 WHIP, 5.3 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 13 2/3 IP.
- Has a 3.22 ERA at home the last 3 seasons (2021-23)
- Has held current Miami bats to an aggregate .430 OPS
- Has thrown 95 pitches in each of his last 2 starts and was solid in similar next-time-out situations last season
Marlins at Braves odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:08 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Marlins +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Braves -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-120) | Braves -1.5 (+100)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a Draft Prep or full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 4/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!
Marlins at Braves picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 6, Marlins 4
Moneyline
Atlanta has been bashing left-handers (.905 OPS) with a .368 batting average on balls in play.
Wright’s velocity is down a couple ticks, and he was roughed up during spring training,
The Braves figure as lucky so far on the runs allowed front, and the Marlins have underplayed their offensive analytics. Peg the Marlins as getting a lead in the series finale … and closing it out.
BACK MIAMI (+155).
Run line/Against the spread
The Fish do not have a 1-run loss this season. The leverage on the Moneyline makes that the better play. PASS.
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
Over/Under
This series has had a general Over lean most of the way. But there is now a bit more play to the Miami offense, and Thursday’s contest has a forecast for a strong pitchers’ breeze. PASS.
[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]