The Miami Marlins (12-11) and Atlanta Braves (15-8) continue a 3-game series on Tuesday with 1st pitch at Truist Park slated for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Braves lead 1-0; Atlanta took 13 of 19 from Miami in 2022
The Marlins were held to just 2 singles in Monday’s series opener. Over their last 3 games, they have gone 3-for-21 with runners in scoring position.
After winning 8 games in a row from April 10-18, the Braves then lost 4 straight, batting .173/.245/.291 (.536 OPS). Atlanta then downed Miami 11-0 Monday.
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Marlins at Braves projected starters
RHP Bryan Hoeing vs. RHP Charlie Morton
Hoeing is making his 1st appearance of the season. He registered a 12.08 ERA in 12 2/3 IP in 8 games (1 start) last season.
- Was removed from the 40-man roster in the offseason but has regained some organizational confidence after his 1st 17 1/3 IP at Triple-A Jacksonville this season (2.08 ERA, 20K against 2 BB)
- Last pitched on Thursday, throwing 5 shutout innings — fanning 7 and walking 1 — in a Triple-A start
Morton (2-2, 3.22 ERA) makes his 5th start. He owns a 1.61 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 22 1/3 IP.
- Loves pitching at home: 3.35 ERA over last 3 seasons
- Facing a Miami lineup that typically leans to the right; has held righty bats to a career .661 OPS (.763 vs. left-handers)
Marlins at Braves odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:18 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Marlins +185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Braves -225 (bet $100 to win $225)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (+100) | Braves -1.5 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Marlins at Braves picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 6, Marlins 4
Moneyline
Miami might be a moderate lean with an undervalued starter on the mound. But Hoeing and the fish tank full of question marks around him tilt the scales out of profit’s reach. PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
No lean on a side, just on a couple or few extra runs being scored. PASS.
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Over/Under
The Over is 4-1 in the last 5 series meetings in Atlanta.
Both clubs figure as being a couple games too far out over their skis, and unsustainable run prevention is close to the heart of each situation.
Hoeing likely cannot be counted on for much. Morton has run into a lot of contact so far and much of has been of the loud variety. The Atlanta bullpen also has cruised along with some generous rates around the margins.
On offense, the Braves have scored 5.29 runs per game, with an .818 OPS over their last 7 games at home.
Consider a partial-unit play on the OVER 8.5 (-120).
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