The New York Mets (14-8) and San Francisco Giants (7-13) close out a 4-game set at Oracle Park on Sunday Night Baseball. First pitch is at 7:08 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Mets lead 2-1
After taking the 1st 2 games of the series, the Mets fell 7-4 Saturday. The Giants jumped on Mets starter David Peterson for 7 runs and never looked back. The Mets have won 8 of 10 and are 10-6 on the road thus far. There is a big contrast between the teams offensively. The Mets are 8th with 5.04 runs/9 and the 2nd-toughest to strike out with 7.32 per game.
The Giants are 17th (4.51) in runs/9 despite being 3rd in baseball with 1.49 homers per game. The Giants are also striking out the most in baseball at 10.82 per game. They are just 3-7 over the last 10 and 3-6 at home overall.
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Mets at Giants projected starters
RHP Tylor Megill vs. RHP Ross Stripling
Megill (3-1, 3.00 ERA) makes his 5th start this season. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 21 IP.
- Last start April 18 at LAD: 5 IP, 7 H, 3 ER, 4 BB and 4 K
- 3 career GS vs. SF: 0-1, 6.89 ERA, 15 K in 15 2/3 IP
Stripling (0-1, 7.30 ERA) makes his 2nd start and 5th appearance. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 12 1/3 IP.
- Last start April 2 at NYY: 5 IP, 6 H, 4 ER, 2 BB, 3 K
- Threw 36 pitches in 2 1/3 IP in his last outing April 18; could be limited to 3-4 IP.
Mets at Giants odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:39 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mets -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Giants -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+140) | Giants +1.5 (-165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)
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Mets at Giants picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 8, Giants 4
Moneyline
The Giants could essentially have a bullpen game, and that pen is ranked 27th with a 5.56 ERA. Megill has been giving the Mets innings, and even if he’s out in the 6th, the Mets have the 5th-best pen ERA at 3.14. The Mets have scored at least 4 runs in 8 of the last 10 games, and they take this game and the series at a solid price.
Take the METS -115.
Run line/Against the spread
The Mets are 13-9 on the RL and 9-7 on the road. Their last 4 wins have been by multiple runs, and their last 5 wins against the Giants were by multiple runs.
I like the METS -1.5 (+140) Sunday night.
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Over/Under
The Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between the teams, and New York is 8-2 O/U overall in the last 10. We also have a couple of middling starters on the hill, and one may not be stretched out enough to go past the 4th. However, the main reason I’m feeling the Over is the wind is blowing out to center field at 16 mph.
Take the OVER 9 (+100).
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