The Atlanta Braves (14-4) face the San Diego Padres (8-11) Wednesday looking for a 3-game series sweep. First pitch at Petco Park is 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 3-3
After a 2-0 win on Monday, the Braves blew out the Padres 8-1 on Tuesday night to win its 8th consecutive game. Starter Spencer Strider carried a no-hitter into the 6th inning and had 9 strikeouts for the 4th straight start. He’s had at least 9 Ks in 8 consecutive starts dating to last season.
The Padres have lost 3 straight games and 6 of their last 7. They have scored only 1 run in their last 27 innings and have been held to 2 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 9 games.
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Braves at Padres projected starters
RHP Charlie Morton vs. RHP Nick Martinez
Morton (2-1, 3.86 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.71 WHIP, 7 BB and 12 K in 16 1/3 IP.
- Took the loss in a 4-1 defeat to the Padres April 8: 5 IP, 6 H, 3R, 3 BB, 6 K
- Has allowed exactly 3 runs in every start this season
Martinez (0-1, 5.60 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 10 BB and 11 K in 17 2/3 IP.
- Had no-decision in 5-4 win over Atlanta April 7: 4 2/3 IP, 4 R, 4 H, 5 BB, 4K
- Allowed 3 or more runs in all 3 starts this season
Braves at Padres odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:54 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Braves -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Padres +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+135) | Padres +1.5 (-165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Braves at Padres picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 4, Padres 3
Moneyline
The Braves are rolling, having won 8 games in a row and they have scored 5-plus runs in 7 of those 8 wins.
The Padres have only 1 run in their last 3 games aand have scored no more than 2 runs in 5 of their last 7 contests. They have dropped 6 pf their last 7 at Petco Park.
BET BRAVES (-120).
Run line/Against the spread
I don’t like the Braves to cover the run line in part because they have five 1-run games in their last 9 wins, but their moneyline is a better value than betting the Padres +1.5 (-165).
PASS.
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Over/Under
Only 1 of Atlanta’s last 9 games has had fewer than 8 runs and that was Monday’s series opener. However, 6 of San Diego’s last 9 games had 7 or fewer runs.
BET UNDER 9 (-115).
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