The New York Mets (31-17) host the Philadelphia Phillies (21-26) in the finale of their 3-game series at Citi Field on ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball. First pitch is scheduled for 7:08 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Mets lead 8-3, outscoring the Phillies by 21 runs (61-40)
The Mets beat the Phillies 8-2 Saturday with the standout performers being SS Francisco Lindor (2-for-3, 2 runs, 3 RBIs) and LF Jeff McNeil (1-for-3, including a 3-run homer).
Phillies at Mets projected starters
RHP Zack Wheeler vs. RHP Chris Bassitt
Wheeler is 3-3 with a 3.38 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 45 1/3 IP over 8 starts.
- Last start: 7-3 road victory Monday at the Atlanta Braves with 6 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 8 H, 0 HR, 0 BB and 10 K.
- 2022 vs. the Mets: One start, a 2-0 home loss April 12 with 4 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 1 HR, 1 BB and 3 K.
Bassitt is 4-2 with a 3.91 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 53 IP across 9 starts.
- Last start: No-decision in Mets’ 13-12 loss at the San Francisco Giants Tuesday with 4 1/3 IP, 8 ER, 8 H, 3 HR, 3 BB and 4 K.
- 2022 vs. the Phillies: One start, a 6-1 home victory May 8 with 5 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 HR, 1 BB and 4 K.
Phillies at Mets odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:40 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Phillies +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Mets -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-210) | Mets -1.5 (+170)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)
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Phillies at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 4, Mets 3
Money line
BET PHILLIES (+102).
Wheeler has been lights out this month after a slow start to the season due to an ailing offseason injury.
Wheeler’s season debut was pushed back 5 games. He only threw 65 pitches over 4 2/3 innings in that start, which was against the Mets April 12.
In May, Wheeler is 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA, 0.98 WHIP and 16.5 K/BB rate with 3 quality starts out of his 4 outings.
Though a 1st-round pick by the Giants in 2009, Wheeler made his MLB debut for the Mets in 2013. Since leaving New York for Philly after the 2019 season, he has pitched well vs. the Mets. He is 4-2 in 9 career starts against the Mets with a 2.58 ERA (59 1/3 IP, 17 ER), 0.98 WHIP and 6.6 K/BB rate.
BET 1 UNIT ON THE PHILLIES (+102).
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Run line/Against the spread
PASS .
The -210 price is too chalky and not worth the risk. Plus, the Phillies are 7-12 RL vs. National League East foes.
Over/Under
PASS.
Philly is 12-4 O/U as a road underdog, while New York is 12-9-1 O/U as a home favorite. But Citi Field is a pitcher-friendly ballpark and ranks 20th in park factor.
Plus, the Under is 9-4-1 in the last 14 head-to-head meetings in New York.
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