The Philadelphia Phillies (6-3) and New York Mets (2-3) open a four-game series Monday. First pitch for the opener is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET at Citi Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Philly, which took 2 of 3 at home from New York at the start of last week, won at the Atlanta Braves 7-6 Sunday night to avoid a 3-game sweep. The Mets, who were rained out Sunday and were shut out 3-0 Saturday, split two games with the visiting Miami Marlins.
RHP Chase Anderson is the Phillies’ projected starting pitcher for this series opener. He lost to the Mets in his first outing of 2021, allowing 2 runs on 2 hits and 2 walks with 3 strikeouts in 5 innings of an 8-4 defeat at home Tuesday.
- 2020 vs. Mets: 0-1, 13.50 ERA (2 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 3 BB, 4 K in 1 start
- Career vs. Mets: 2-4, 4.47 ERA (44 1/3 IP, 22 ER) in 9 starts
LHP David Peterson is the Mets’ projected starter. He lost at the Phillies in his first 2021 outing as he was nailed for 6 runs on 7 hits and 2 walks in 4 innings of an 8-2 defeat Wednesday. He struck out 5 and served up 2 home runs.
- 2020 vs. Phillies: 0-0, 22.50 ERA (2 IP, 5 ER) in 1 start
- Career vs. Phillies: 0-1, 16.50 ERA (6 IP, 11 ER) in 2 starts
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Phillies at Mets odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:15 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Phillies +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Mets -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Phillies +1.5 (-160) | Mets -1.5 (+135)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Prediction
Phillies 7, Mets 5
Money line (ML)
PHILADELPHIA (+115) is the play. The Phillies are 5-2 ATS as underdogs so far this season.
While they already took 2 of 3 from the Mets in 2021, neither team has dominated this NL East rivalry as of late. The Phillies won 6 of 10 vs. the Mets in 2020.
With neither starting pitcher giving their club an edge – both lost in the series last week – PHILADELPHIA (+115) offers the better value.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
AVOID. Philly +1.5 isn’t worth the -160 juice.
New York -1.5 would be a reasonable payoff at +135, but it would require the Mets to win by 2 or more runs. I’ll PASS.
ATS records: Phillies 6-3 | Mets 1-4
Over/Under (O/U)
OVER 8.5 (-110) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. The Phillies have played 6 Overs in a row after opening the season with 3 consecutive Unders. The Over streak started with the 3-game set vs. the Mets.
Plus, both pitchers are capable of getting knocked out before the fifth inning.
O/U records: Phillies 6-3 | Mets 3-2
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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
| JOHNNY RECORD | W-L | SP | ROI |
| 2021 MLB | 11-14 | 4-3 | -0.5 |
| 2020 MLB | 80-59-1 | 39-21 | +24.79 |
| 2021 (all sports) | 113-99-1 | 53-44 | +12.55 |
| *–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment | |||
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