7 best bets for NFL Week 12

It’s important to not lose faith when picking games. Slow starts exist for a reason. This year, underdogs were covering like crazy to start the year. There’s been a bit of a correction. That’s why we are finally over .500 for the first time this …

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Three Team 10-Point Teaser

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS +0.5 over Carolina Panthers

CLEVELAND BROWNS -0.5 over Miami Dolphins

Dallas Cowboys +16.5 over NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

Teasers have not been hitting the past few weeks, but this one is too good to pass up.

The Saints aren’t losing to the Panthers in New Orleans. Drew Brees and company had their wakeup call when they were handled by the Falcons two weeks ago. If they do lose, they can kiss any chance at the top seed in the NFC goodbye. The Panthers are 5-5 which is mediocre, but they aren’t even truly that good. Their current DVOA is 27th in the league which makes them much closer to the Bengals than it does to some team like the Browns. Speaking of the Browns . . .

There’s no way that Cleveland can lose to Miami at home. The Dolphins already won their big games this season. The Browns will struggle to put pressure on the quarterback without Myles Garrett, but the Miami line is a bunch of below replacement level players. Cleveland has found a way to leverage its two running back attack the last few games. Baker Mayfield looks much more comfortable than he did at the beginning of the season. It’s an easy win.

Which brings us to the third leg of the teaser. The Patriots offense is bad right now. Getting Isaiah Wynn back at left tackle won’t be a cure-all even if he does play up to Patriots fans’ expectations. They can’t run. They may be without Phillip Dorsett and Mohamed Sanu. It’s not looking good for a New England offense that is thin on talent. This doesn’t mean the Patriots will lose, but they aren’t covering 16.5 points against a very talented Dallas team.