The 14th-seeded Yale Bulldogs (19-11) take the court in the first round of the NCAA Tournament against the No. 3 seed Purdue Boilermakers (27-7) on Friday at Fiserv Forum. The contest starts at 2:00 PM. Yale is a heavy, 15.5-point underdog in the game. Here’s what you need to know before filling out your brackets for this 3-14 matchup in the East Regional Region.
Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
Purdue has compiled a 14-20-1 record against the spread this season, while Yale is 11-13-0. In terms of hitting the over, games involving the Boilermakers are 18-17-0 and the Bulldogs are 11-13-0. The teams average 152.1 points per game, 8.6 more points than this matchup’s total. Purdue is 1-8-1 against the spread and 6-4 overall over its past 10 games, while Yale has gone 6-4-0 against the spread and 8-2 overall.
Here’s everything you need to prepare for Friday’s college hoops action.
Yale at Purdue odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list.
- Spread: Purdue -15.5
- Total: 143.5
- Moneyline: Purdue -1708, Yale +921
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Yale at Purdue odds, spread, & more
Prediction
Purdue 79, Yale 66
Moneyline
- The Boilermakers have been the moneyline favorite 34 total times this season. They’ve gone 27-7 in those games.
- Purdue has played seven times as a moneyline favorite with odds of -1708 or shorter, and won each game.
- Based on this game’s moneyline, the Boilermakers have an implied win probability of 94.5%.
- The Bulldogs have entered the game as underdogs eight times this season and won three of those games.
- Yale has not entered a game this season as a bigger underdog on the moneyline than the +921 odds on them winning this game.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 9.8% chance of a victory for the Bulldogs.
Against the spread
- The Boilermakers put up 11 more points per game (79.8) than the Bulldogs give up (68.8).
- Purdue is 12-10-1 against the spread and 24-1 overall when scoring more than 68.8 points.
- When Yale gives up fewer than 79.8 points, it is 10-7 against the spread and 17-4 overall.
- The Bulldogs’ 72.3 points per game are just 3.5 more points than the 68.8 the Boilermakers give up to opponents.
- Yale has put together a 7-6 ATS record and a 13-4 overall record in games it scores more than 68.8 points.
- Purdue has an ATS record of 8-10-1 and a 17-4 record overall when its opponents score fewer than 72.3 points.
- The Boilermakers have totaled a total of 375 more points than their opponents this year (an average of 11 per game), and the Bulldogs have out-scored opponents by 105 points on the season (3.5 more per game).
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Over/Under
- The Boilermakers have an average implied point total of 78.6 this season, which is 1.4 points lower than their implied total in Friday’s game (80).
- This season, Purdue has scored more than 80 points in 17 games.
- The 74.9-point average implied total on the season for the Bulldogs is equal to the team’s implied total in this matchup.
- On the season, Yale has outscored its implied point total for this matchup (64) 19 times.
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