The Houston Astros are down 2-1 to the Atlanta Braves in the World Series and will try to even the series on the road Saturday. First pitch for Game 4 is 8:09 p.m. ET at Truist Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Astros vs. Braves Game 4 odds with MLB picks and predictions.
The Braves took the series lead with a 2-0 shutout win in Game 3. They have alternated wins thus far in the series.
Astros RHP Zack Greinke (11-6, 4.16 ERA) makes his second start and third appearance of the postseason. He has a 7.71 ERA with 3 H and 3 BB through 2 1/3 IP.
- Greinke has 9 career home runs, something of note because there are no designated hitters in National League ballparks.
- He is 4-1 with a 2.75 ERA in 11 career starts against the Braves.
As of publishing, the Braves had not announced a starter for Game 4. They may go with a bullpen game, opting for an opener to pitch an inning or two, rather than a traditional starter. The Braves starters have a 3.84 ERA while their relief corps has a 3.94 ERA over 573 2/3 IP.
Astros at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Astros -112 (bet $112 to win $100) | Braves -108 (bet $108 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Astros -1.5 (+145) | Braves +1.5 (-180)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)
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Prediction
Braves 5, Astros 3
Money line (ML)
The Braves have not lost a home game in the postseason so far and are 21-6 dating back to Sept. 19.
The Astros are 47-40 on the road this year and 3-3 on the road in the postseason.
Greinke has a career 4.29 ERA in the postseason, so we should not expect him to dominate. However, the Astros have won his last four postseason starts dating back to last season.
I expect the Braves to push the Astros to the brink of elimination.
Take the BRAVES (-108).
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Braves are 39-15 ATS this year as the underdog and are 10-3 ATS in the postseason.
The Astros are 7-6 ATS in the postseason and 42-45 ATS on the road.
Take the BRAVES +1.5 (-180).
Over/Under (O/U)
Only one of the three games in the series thus far has had nine runs and none have gone Over the projected total.
Only seven of the Braves’ last 20 games have gone Over their projected total.
None of the Astros’ last four games have hit the Over, although all seven of their games prior did.
It will be close but take UNDER 8.5 (-105).
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