Need help:
| Team | vs 1-10 | vs 11-25 | vs 26-40 | vs 41-80 | vs 81+ | SOS Range | Wins over
+.500 |
Off YPP
(rank) |
Def YPP
(rank) |
| Wisconsin | 1-1 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 4-0 | 15-45 | 3 | 6.3 (2) | 4.4 (8) |
The Badgers aren’t in a terrible position. The loss to Illinois looks more acceptable each week. They got a lot of help from Iowa beating Minnesota, which both boosted the value of the Iowa win and gives the Badgers a shot. If Wisconsin wins the Big Ten Championship Game, the Badgers could have four ranked wins. That will be decent, though the win over Ohio State would have to be convincing–otherwise the Badgers (at 11-2) probably wouldn’t be able to even jump the Buckeyes. (It would also help Wisconsin if Michigan beats Ohio State, both to hurt the Buckeyes’ resume and to add even more value to the win over Michigan.)
| Team | vs 1-10 | vs 11-25 | vs 26-40 | vs 41-80 | vs 81+ | SOS Range | Wins over
+.500 |
Off YPP
(rank) |
Def YPP
(rank) |
| Oregon | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1-0 | 6-1 | 1-0 | 20-55 | 5 | 6.4 (14) | 4.6 (16) |
This is a bit painful. There’s not much here to hang a Playoff resume on, especially with two losses. Oregon needs a miracle, and to blow out Utah convincingly if the Utes reach the Pac 12 Championship Game.
| Team | vs 1-10 | vs 11-25 | vs 26-40 | vs 41-80 | vs 81+ | SOS Range | Wins over
+.500 |
Off YPP
(rank) |
Def YPP
(rank) |
| Michigan | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 3-0 | 4-0 | 10-25 | 4 | 5.7 (57) | 4.0 (3) |
I have eliminated Michigan, but I’m concerned I may have been a drop too early on that. If the Wolverines win out, they would have five solid wins, including one over Ohio State. The SOS numbers would be elite, as is the defense. If we get some real chaos, like two-loss teams winning both the Big 12 and the Pac 12, why wouldn’t Michigan be a contender? Because Penn State is in front of the Wolverines with a head-to-head win? This resume would be exceptionally strong. The blowout nature of the Wisconsin loss is the reason I eliminated Michigan, but we’ve seen a team with a similar loss reach the Playoff (2017 Georgia). It would take a lot of help, but Michigan’s resume could be very competitive–if it can beat Ohio State.