The Washington Nationals (30-54) and Philadelphia Phillies (43-39) close out a 3-game set Wednesday at Citizens Bank Park. The NL East contest is slated for a 7:05 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Philadelphia leads 5-2. The Phillies are 25-11 against Washington since 2020.
The Nationals had lost 6 straight games before downing the Phils 3-2 Wednesday. Washington’s offense has scuffled of late. The Nats have scored just 2.92 runs per game on a .670 OPS since June 22.
Philadelphia is 22-10 since June 1. In home games over that same span, Philly has banged out an .832 OPS.
Nationals at Phillies projected starters
RHP Joan Adon vs. LHP Bailey Falter
Adon (1-11, 6.97 ERA) is tabbed for his 14th start. He has a 1.75 WHIP, 5.3 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 60 2/3 IP.
- Last MLB start was June 17. Sent to the minors for a planned break June 21. Made 1 start at Triple-A.
- That June 17 start was vs. the Phillies: 5 IP, 4 R, 7 H, 1 BB, 6 K.
Falter (0-2, 4.88 ERA) owns a 1.42 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 24 IP in 4 starts and 4 relief appearances.
- Allowed 3 runs in 5 IP against Washington on June 17.
- Logged a 5.61 ERA as a rookie in 2021.
Nationals at Phillies odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 9:07 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Nationals +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Phillies -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
- Run line (RL): Nationals +1.5 (-135) | Phillies -1.5 (+110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)
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Nationals at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 6, Nationals 3
Money line
PASS. The wide gulf between these prices likely includes the true odds of an outright Philadelphia win.
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Run line/Against the spread
The Phils won Tuesday’s series opener 11-0 and each of the club’s last 6 victories has been by margins of 2 runs or more. The bullpen advantage is squarely with Phillies for reasons involving both talent and fatigue.
In day games following night games, Washington has lost 5 straight.
TAKE PHILADELPHIA -1.5 (+110).
Over/Under
TAKE THE UNDER 9.5 (-105). This play banks somewhat on the all-around pitching eclipsing its surface numbers. Add in some systemic gravity in Philly’s batting numbers (some luck in how hits have been clustered and in some high-leverage situations).
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