The Washington Nationals (29-54) and Philadelphia Phillies (43-38) continue into a 3-game set Wednesday at Citizens Bank Park. The NL East contest is slated for a 7:05 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Philadelphia leads 5-1. The Phillies are 25-10 against Washington since 2020.
The Nationals have lost 6 straight games. Washington was shut out 11-0 Tuesday and owns a subpar .676 OPS in its last 12 games. On the road, the Nats have compiled a mere .606 OPS in their last 9 games.
The Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 games, and that’s part of a larger trend. Philadelphia is 22-9 with a .785 OPS since June 1. In home games over that same span, Philly has banged out an .847 OPS at home.
Nationals at Phillies projected starters
RHP Josiah Gray vs. RHP Aaron Nola
Gray (6-5, 4.22 ERA) is tabbed for his 16th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 81 IP.
- Clocked an ERA of 1.24 from May 29-June 25 but coughed up 6 runs in his last start Friday vs. the Miami Marlins.
- Owns a 2.93 ERA in 67 2/3 career road innings.
Nola (5-5, 3.13 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 0.92 WHIP, 1.2 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in 103 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Won 14-4 Thursday vs. Atlanta Braves, allowing 4 R, 7 H, 1 BB and 8 K in 7 IP.
- Had a couple of rocky outings against the Nationals late last season, but dominated Washington in a June 18 start (8 IP, 0 R, 4 H, 0 BB and 8 K).
Nationals at Phillies odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 10:11 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Nationals +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Phillies -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
- Run line (RL): Nationals +1.5 (-115) | Phillies -1.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)
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Nationals at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 6, Nationals 4
Money line
PASS. Any profit to be had is washed away by the juice here.
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Run line/Against the spread
The Phils won Tuesday’s series opener 11-0 and each of the club’s last 6 victories has been by margins of 2 runs or more.
The bullpen advantage is squarely with Phillies. Nola went 110 pitches in his last start, so figure that advantage being leveraged.
TAKE PHILADELPHIA -1.5 (-105).
Over/Under
The last 14 meetings between these NL East foes has produced 12 Overs. And that’s the play in this game.
Washington’s offense puts up respectable numbers away from home (.725 OPS through Monday). On a warm night in Philly, TAKE THE OVER 8.5 (+100).
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