The Washington Nationals (9-14) wrap up a 3-game series against the New York Mets (14-11) on Thursday at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Nationals lead 2-0
The Nationals defeated the Mets 4-1 on Wednesday to give them 2 straight wins to begin the series. Washington has won 4 of its last 5 contests.
The bats of the Mets continued to struggle Wednesday, mustering up just 4 hits. New York has now lost 4 straight games.
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Nationals at Mets projected starters
RHP Trevor Williams vs. LHP Joey Lucchesi
Williams (1-1, 3.38 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 5.5 K/9 through 21 1/3 IP.
- Has allowed 2 or more ER in 3 of his first 4 starts
- Credited with a win in only 3 of his last 13 starts dating back to last season
Lucchesi (1-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 0.86 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 through 7 IP.
- Tossed 7 scoreless IP with 4 H and 2 BB with 9 K at the San Francisco Giants Friday, his first start since 2021
- Hasn’t allowed more than 1 ER in a start since May 3, 2021, although that’s a span of just 7 starts due to injury
Nationals at Mets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Nationals +195 (bet $100 to win $195) | Mets -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (+100) | Mets -1.5 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Nationals at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 6, Nationals 3
Moneyline
PASS.
The Mets (-250) are expected to secure the victory on Thursday, but wagering on them isn’t advised as the risk isn’t worth the reward with the odds being well over -200.
Run line/Against the spread
METS -1.5 (-120) is the pick in this contest as it is hard to expect New York to get swept by Washington at home. While the Mets have struggled to generate runs in this series thus far, Williams is allowing a career-worst 13.2% barrel percentage this season.
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Over/Under
OVER 8.5 (-105) is the lean in this NL East matchup as the Nationals have scored 4-plus runs in each of the first 2 games of the series. Meanwhile, I expect the Mets to finally score a decent number of runs to finish out the series.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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