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The Washington Nationals (10-14) and Miami Marlins (6-20) open a 4-game series at loanDepot Park Friday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Marlins won 11-2 last season
The Nationals are coming off a 2-1 loss as +154 home underdogs against the Los Angeles Dodgers Thursday with the Under (7.5) hitting. Washington was swept for the 1st time this season and scored a total of just 4 runs over the 3-game series.
The Marlins have also lost 3 straight after getting swept by the Atlanta Braves at Truist Park. The most recent loss was a 4-3 defeat as +234 underdogs Thursday as the Under (9) cashed.
Nationals at Marlins projected starters
RHP Trevor Williams vs. RHP Anthony Maldonado
Williams (2-0, 2.91 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 21 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 5-4 home win in 10 innings vs. Houston Astros Saturday
- Career vs. Marlins: 1-4, 5.26 ERA (51 1/3 IP, 30 ER), 1.32 WHIP in 8 starts and 5 relief appearances, including 0-3 with a 7.59 ERA (21 1/3 IP, 18 ER) in 4 starts last season
Maldonado makes his MLB debut Friday, serving as Miami’s opener.
- 2024 stats with Triple-A Jacksonville: 3-0, 2.31 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 0.77 WHIP in 8 relief appearances
- Hasn’t pitched more than 2 innings in an appearance this year in the minors
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Nationals at Marlins odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:21 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Nationals +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Marlins -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (-190) | Marlins -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Nationals at Marlins picks and predictions
Prediction
Nationals 4, Marlins 3
Moneyline
The NATIONALS (+105) getting plus money seems like a good bet vs. the Marlins, especially since Miami will be having a bullpen day. Williams has allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in 3 of his 4 starts this season and should have no trouble shutting down Miami’s offense, which is 28th in MLB in runs per game (3.38).
BET NATIONALS (+105).
Run line/Against the spread
The Nationals should cover the +1.5, but betting MLB teams at -190 is a losing proposition long term.
PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.
Over/Under
The Under has gone 6-1-1 in Washington’s last 8 games and 5-1 in Miami’s last 6. The Nationals and Marlins are 21st and 25th, respectively, in hits per game, and Williams hasn’t given up more than 3 earned runs in a start this season.
BET UNDER 8.5 (-110).
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