The Washington Nationals (30-57) and Atlanta Braves (51-35) finish their 3-game series Sunday at Truist Park with 1st pitch at 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Braves lead 6-2 and have outscored the Nationals 62-34 in the 8 games.
The Braves look to sweep the Nationals for the 2nd time this season. While Braves pitcher Kyle Wright went 7 innings in Saturday’s 4-3 win, the Nationals could not capitalize on their 12 hits. They left 9 men on base and were 1-8 with RISP.
Nationals at Braves projected starters
RHP Paolo Espino vs. RHP Ian Anderson
Espino (0-2, 3.33 ERA) makes his 6th start this season after 20 relief appearances. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 48 2/3 IP.
- Has a 2.03 ERA as a reliever, 4.91 as starter.
- Gave up 4 runs in each of his last 2 starts.
- Getting an average 3.33 in run support as a starting pitcher.
Anderson (7-5, 5.09 ERA) will make his 17th start. He has a 1.53 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 81 1/3 IP.
- Despite giving up only 1 run against St. Louis last week, Anderson has a 6.15 ERA in his last 7 starts.
- Started June 13 game against Washington and had no-decision with 4 IP, 6 H 4 ER, 4 BB and 3 K.
- Allows .213 batting average against lefties.
Nationals at Braves odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 12:54 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Nationals +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Braves -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (-115) | Braves -1.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)
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Nationals at Braves picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 7, Nationals 3
Money line
LEAN BRAVES (-220)
It’s pricey, but the Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. right-handed starters and the Nationals are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Also, the Nationals have lost 5 straight games when they lose the first 2 games of a series.
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Run line/Against the spread
LEAN BRAVES (-1.5)
Atlanta covers 57% of the time against division opponents while Washington is last in the same category with 33%.
Only the Kansas City Royals, Detroit Tigers, and Los Angeles Dodgers have played fewer 1-run games this season than the Nationals’ 19, so if you wanted to bet on Washington there is more value on the money line.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 9.5 (-130)
The line is high but on paper the numbers suggest a high scoring game.
Anderson has been trending down since his first start in 2020. His ERA, WHIP, FIP, and home runs allowed have been increasing year over year, while his strikeouts per 9 innings have fallen.
But the Braves have won in 10 of his 16 games. The reason comes from their bats. Atlanta is putting up 6.22 runs on offense when Anderson starts.
For the Nationals, of all the teams Espino faced as a reliever and a starter this year, the Braves have the highest ERA at 9.00 and a 2.00 WHIP, and the Over hit in 5 of Washington’s last 6 game 3s of a series.
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