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The Virginia Cavaliers (4-4, 2-3 ACC) and 23rd-ranked Pitt Panthers (7-1, 3-1) meet Saturday at Acrisure Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (ACC Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Virginia vs. Pitt odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
The Cavaliers are in freefall, dropping 3 straight games. Virginia suffered a 41-14 loss against North Carolina last weekend as a 3.5-point favorite as the Under (59) cashed. The Hoos saw a 4-0 against the spread (ATS) run snapped. The Under has cashed in 3 of the past 4 outings, too.
Pitt headed down to Dallas last weekend undefeated through the first 7 games, but SMU handed the Panthers their lunch, 48-25. Pitt was 6-1 ATS in the first 7 games before the non-cover in Dallas. The Over (56) cashed, halting a 3-game Under run, too.
– US LBM Coaches Poll: Conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Virginia at Pitt odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 11:50 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Virginia +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Pitt -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Virginia +7 (-110) | Pitt -7 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 57.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Virginia at Pitt picks and predictions
Prediction
Pitt 34, Virginia 28
Moneyline
Pitt (-275) will set you back nearly 3 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not nearly enough reward.
The Panthers would be a bad play anyway, but especially after struggling last week on the road against SMU.
AVOID.
Against the spread
Take VIRGINIA +7 (-110) catching the points, but make sure to tread lightly.
The past couple of games have been a disaster for the Hoos, but they’ve had 2 weeks off to prepare. We should see a much better effort for Virginia after the long rest. In addition, UVA is 4-1 ATS in the past 5 outings, so it makes plenty of sense to back it.
Pitt -7 (-110) is 1-2 ATS in the past 3 games, and it is 1-2 ATS in the past 3 meetings with Virginia, too.
Over/Under
OVER 57.5 (-110) is a strong play in the Steel City.
The Over has cashed in the past 2 meetings, and the winner in 5 of the past 6 in the series has managed at least 30 points.
The total has gone low in 3 of the past 4 games for UVA, but the defense has allowed 44.5 PPG in the past 2 outings.
Pitt is good for 25 or more points in 7 of 8 outings this season, and it was dinged for 48 points last time out. The Panthers have averaged 44.8 PPG in 5 games at home, too.
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