The Virginia Cavaliers (4-4, 3-4 ACC) visit the Florida State Seminoles (2-6, 1-6) Saturday for an 8 p.m. ET kickoff. Below, we analyze the Virginia-Florida State college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
Virginia at Florida State: Betting odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 9:55 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Virginia -313 (bet $313 to win $100) | Florida State +245 (bet $100 to win $245)
- Against the spread/ATS: Virginia -8.5 (-110) | Florida State +8.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 58.5 (O: -106 | U: -115)
Virginia at Florida State: Three things to know
- Virginia rolls into this one on a three-game winning streak, and a 4-0 ATS run. Of course, last week’s cover of a 39.5-point spread was a miracle, as UVA had an 84-yard interception return with zeroes on the clock in a 55-15 win vs. Abilene Christian.
- Florida State pulled out of last week’s game against Clemson due to COVID-19 concerns, just don’t bring it up to Tigers head coach Dabo Swinney. The ‘Noles haven’t been in action since Nov. 14 at NC State, a 38-22 loss. They’re on an 0-3 straight up and ATS slide since a 31-28 upset win over North Carolina, then ranked No. 5 on Oct. 17.
- The road team is 3-0-1 ATS across the past four meetings in this series. The Under is 9-1 in the past 10 meetings between these teams while hitting in each of the past five in Tallahassee.
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Virginia at Florida State: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Virginia 34, Florida State 21
Money line (ML)
Florida State (+245) cannot be trusted, as it has struggled all season. Virginia (-313) cannot be trusted, either, as laying more than three times your potential return is not a strong long-term strategy. AVOID, and look to the spread.
Against the spread (ATS)
VIRGINIA -8.5 (-110) is a bit of a risky play on the road, especially by more than one score. The Hoos are 4-1 ATS in their past five as favorites, and they have covered the spread in five of their past seven league games.
Florida State, on the other hand, has covered just one of the past seven at home while going 2-6 ATS in the past eight as an underdog. The Seminoles are also just 7-18-1 ATS in their past 26 games overall.
Over/Under (O/U)
UNDER 58.5 (-115) is the way to go here, as that is the dominant trend in this series. The Under has hit in nine of the past 10 overall, and five straight meetings at Doak Campbell Stadium. The Seminoles are averaging just 20.3 points per game in their past three games at home against FBS teams.
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