Virginia at Duke odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Virginia at Duke odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Virginia Cavaliers (14-9, 8-5 ACC) travel to Durham, N.C., to take on the No. 6 Duke Blue Devils (19-3, 9-2) in a 7 p.m. ET Monday game at Cameron Indoor Stadium. Below, we look at the Virginia vs. Duke odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Virginia leads the ACC in defense, allowing just 59.6 points per game while holding opponents to 41.9% mark from the floor. The Cavaliers are coming off a Saturday win over Miami (Fla.) and have won two of their last three. In all three wins, the Wahoos held foes under 60 points.

The Blue Devils smothered North Carolina, 87-67, Saturday. Freshman F A.J. Griffin scored a career-high 27 points Saturday and has averaged 20.7 PPG over his last three contests. Duke has won five consecutive games and has held foes to a 37.4% shooting percentage in the process.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Virginia at Duke odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Virginia +520 (bet $100 to win $520) | Duke -800 (bet $800 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Virginia +11.5 (-107) | Duke -11.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 128.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Virginia at Duke odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Duke 67, Virginia 54

Money line

You shouldn’t risk eight times your wager for a regular season game. AVOID.

Against the spread

Duke’s 80.7 PPG rank 15th in the nation. Over the last three years, Virginia is 3-11 ATS when facing teams that score 77-plus points per contest. And the way the Blue Devils get their points — six players averaging more then 7.0 PPG — spells too wide a bandwidth for UVA to cover.

Duke had a couple shaky home games in January and is now back at home after three impressive road wins. Look for a push to turn recent successes into a bigger edge on home hardwood.

BACK THE BLUE DEVILS -11.5 (-115).

Over/Under

The Under is 4-1 in Duke’s last five games overall and 4-1 in the last five games at home.

The devil is in the details, and the details of this Devils’ defense make for too many hurdles for UVA. And they make for a lean toward the UNDER 128.5 (-108). Duke’s field-goal defense, inside and outside, and its ability to block shots — all while maintaining a low rate of free throws allowed — spells a total in the low-50s for the Cavaliers.

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