Updated game-by-game predictions for Texas using ESPN’s FPI after the Arkansas loss

How likely are they to win the remaining games on their schedule?

The Steve Sarkisian era got off to a hot start in Week 1, where they defeated then ranked No. 23 Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns 38-18 and looked solid and composed in all three phases.

Week 2 was a completely different story. Texas traveled to Fayetteville on Saturday evening to face Arkansas and were completely dominated in the trenches. In fact, it’s hard to find a single positive takeaway from the 40-21 loss to the Razorbacks.

The offensive line struggles for Texas happened to be the biggest storyline, but Pete Kwiatkowski’s defensive unit also gave up 333 rushing yards on the ground. Even the special teams had their fair share of miscues, as kicker Cameron Dicker missed a field goal attempt for the second consecutive week, while also bobbled the snap on a punt that Arkansas later took advantage of.

Texas certainly needs to make some adjustments before beginning conference play on Sept. 25.

In ESPN’s updated Football Power Index, Texas is now favored in all but two of the remaining games on their schedule. The game-by-game predictions below are laid out by win probability for each matchup.

Texas’ matchups with Kansas and Rice present the highest win probability, while Oklahoma and Iowa State show the lowest. Prior to the Arkansas loss, the Longhorns were favored to defeat Iowa State. Now, the Cyclones are favored in that matchup.