Updated ESPN FPI predictions has Ohio State losing a game for the first time this season

For the first time this year, the ESPN FPI matchup predictor has Ohio State losing against one team. #GoBucks

The Ohio State football team made a huge statement on Saturday afternoon, knocking off a top-10 Penn State team with suffocating defense and an offense that made enough plays at key moments to win the biggest challenge so far.

Each week we like to check in on how the ESPN FPI (Football Power Index) changes the percentage chances of the Ohio State football team winning each remaining regular season game of the 2023 season, and it’s that time of the week again.

So far, believe it or not, ESPN’s crazy model that predicts future performance of a team based on current metrics in combination with its opponents, has been very kind to the Buckeyes. It has predicted them to win each game on the schedule. We don’t ask how the sausage was made, we just consume it and enjoy how it feels on our taste buds.

There’s still a couple of huge tests ahead. Next week in Madison is no picnic, and then of course, the year-end donnybrook with Michigan that’s looking more and more like a massive game.

Here is what the ESPN FPI matchup predictor says about each remaining game on the schedule and OSU’s chances of winning, including games against RutgersWisconsinMichigan State and, of those Wolverines. We also take a look at how things might have changed since last week when we went through the same exercise.