In a middleweight bout on Saturday’s main card, Eryk Anders and Darren Stewart meet at UFC on ESPN+ 51 – also known as UFC Fight Night 187 or UFC Vegas 21 – at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The early prelims kick off at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN+, and then the main card on ESPN+ at 8 p.m. ET Below, we analyze the UFC on ESPN+ 51 odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
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UFC on ESPN+ 51 Anders vs. Stewart: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:09 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Anders +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Stewart -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
- Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -225 | Under +185)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -190 | No +160)
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UFC on ESPN+ 51 Anders vs. Stewart: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Anders 13-5 | Stewart 12-6
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
The underdog Anders (+150) is looking to bounce back after a unanimous-decision loss to Krzysztof Jotko last time out on May 16, 2020, and he is just 2-4 across the past six outings. Meanwhile, Stewart (-185) is looking to rebound from a split-decision loss to Kevin Holland on Sept. 19, 2020. Both fighters will be hungry and trying to avoid a two-bout losing skid.
Both fighters are pretty even in the significant strikes landed per minute category, with Stewart holding a slight 3.08-to-3.02 edge in that category, with the accuracy difference rather negligible. Both are also fairly even in the takedown average and accuracy departments, as well as submission average. As a result, “Ya Boi” ANDERS (+150) is the much better value here.
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Over/Under (O/U)
Five of the past six pro fights for Stewart have ended up needing the judges to decide a winner, with two wins in those five decisions with one submission win along the way.
For Anders, he has had just one stoppage in the past five bouts. That’s why the odds are so skewed favor of the fight going the distance.
The best bet here, based upon both fighters going the distance so frequently lately, is playing YES (-190) ON ‘WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE?’.
For an added bonus, play ANDERS BY DECISION (+300) for a small-unit wager and good value.
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MMA Junkie:
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