In a lightweight bout on the main card, Arman Tsarukyan and Joaquim Silva meet Saturday at UFC on ESPN 47 — also known as UFC Vegas 75 — at UFC Apex in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ESPN 47: Tsarukyan vs. Silva odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.
The prelims are on ESPN2/ESPN+ at 7 p.m. ET, with the main card on ESPN/ESPN+ at 10 p.m. ET.
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Tsarukyan suffered a unanimous-decision loss to Mateusz Gamrot in a main event on June 25 last year in one of the more underrated fights of the entire year. It was an absolute war. He redeemed himself with a unanimous-decision win over Damir Ismagulov in mid-December to get back on track.
The Armenian fighter has won 6 of his past 7 bouts, with 2 KO/TKO wins and 4 victories via unanimous-decision with the lone setback coming vs. Gamrot. The 26-year-old has just 3.56 significant strikes landed per minute, but he makes them count, striking at a 55.96% accuracy, to just 43.73% for his counterpart.
The 34-year-old Silva also gives up 3.5 inches in reach to Tsarukyan, and he isn’t much on the mat, either. Meanwhile, the Armenian fighter has a 3.30 takedown average and 33.33% takedown accuracy percentage.
Silva is a big hitter though, and the southpaw dropped Jesse Ronson last time out with a 2nd round victory in October. That win stopped a 2-bout losing streak where he lost via KO/TKO on 2 occasions, including a sloppy effort in a 37-second loss to Ricky Glenn in mid-June 2021. He is just 2-3 in his past 5 fights, with his past 4 fights ending via KO/TKO (2-2).
UFC on ESPN 47: Tsarukyan vs. Silva odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:53 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Tsarukyan -1100 (bet $1100 to win $100) | Silva +675 (bet $100 to win $675)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +250 | No -350)
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UFC on ESPN 47: Tsarukyan vs. Silva picks and predictions
Records: Tsarukyan (19-3-0) | Silva (12-4-0)
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
There is no way to justify betting Tsarukyan (-1100), as he would cost you 11 times your potential return. In other words, a $100 wager would net you a profit of $9.09. That’s way too much risk for not enough reward.
Instead, let’s look to the Method of Victory instead. Tsarukyan has gone to the judges in 6 of his 8 UFC fights, so playing TSARUKYAN ON POINTS (+325) for a chance to triple up is a far better value — and a more likely scenario.
Over/Under (O/U)
YES (+250): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is worth playing, and it isn’t a bad parlay opportunity with Tsarukyan on points, as well as coupling with one of the other fighters on the card.
Tsarukyan isn’t a big puncher, but he’ll use his 3.5-inch reach advantage to pull Silva in and out, picking and choosing his spots to go for the big shots or takedowns, all the while wowing the judges and earning valuable points.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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