In a featherweight bout on the main card, Nate Landwehr and Austin Lingo meet at UFC on ESPN 43 at AT&T Center in San Antonio, Texas. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ESPN 43: Landwehr vs. Lingo odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.
The fights are on ESPN/ESPN+, with the prelims beginning at 4:30 p.m. ET. The main card, also on ESPN/ESPN+, begin at 7 p.m. ET.
Landwehr heads to the octagon with a pair of victories in his past 2 outings. He stopped David Onama via majority decision last time out, and he submitted Ludovit Klein Oct. 16, 2021. Still, it’s just a couple of fights since he was embarrassed in a 1st-round knockout loss to Julian Erosa in the opening minute.
Landwehr holds a 6.37-to-4.00 significant strikes landed per minute advantage over Lingo, and he is more accurate, too, at 54.87% to just 44.44% for the challenger.
The veteran is more solid in the ground game, too, posting a mark of 1.30 in both takedown average and submission average, and he is 66.67% in takedown accuracy percentage, too.
Lingo has managed a pair of unanimous-decision wins against Luis Saldana and Jacob Kilburn in his most recent fights after a unanimous-decision loss to Youssef Zalal in his company debut at UFC 247.
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UFC on ESPN 43: Landwehr vs. Lingo odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:15 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Landwehr -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Lingo +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
- Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over +100 | Under -130)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +135 | No -190)
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UFC on ESPN 43: Landwehr vs. Lingo picks and predictions
Records: Landwehr (16-4-0) | Lingo (9-1-0)
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
Landwehr (-210) is a big step up in competition for Lingo (+170). The challenger would be wise to try and keep his distance, although Landwehr holds a 2-inch reach advantage, while holding a big significant strikes landed per minute advantage.
Since landing in the UFC, Landwehr has gone the distance twice in 5 fights, while Lingo has gone the distance in each of his 3 bouts at the UFC level.
I think LANDWEHR BY POINTS (+225) is a solid value play for a chance to more than double up your initial investment.
Over/Under (O/U)
Playing YES (+135): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE is a nice value at plus-money. Lingo hasn’t had a finish in 3 UFC bouts, and Landwehr has needed the judges to get involved in 2 of his past 4 outings.
OVER 2.5 ROUNDS (+100) is also decent at even-money, if you want a little wiggle room in the event of a late stoppage in Round 3.
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