The Troy Trojans (5-2, 3-1 Sun Belt) and South Alabama Jaguars (5-1, 2-0) tussle in a key Sun Belt West game Thursday at Hancock Whitney Stadium in Mobile. Kickoff is slated for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPNU). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Troy vs. South Alabama odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Troy squeaked by 3-win Texas State 17-14 Saturday for its 4th win in a row. The Trojans have yielded just 14.5 points per game over those 4 victories. TU has allowed just 19.3 PPG (3rd SBC) on the season.
The Jaguars have relied more on their offense. For the season, they are averaging nearly 12 points more per contest than TU. South Alabama is coming off a 41-34 shootout win over Louisiana-Monroe Saturday where it cranked out a season-high 615 total yards.
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Troy at South Alabama odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Troy +133 (bet $100 to win $133) | South Alabama -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Troy +3.5 (-130) | South Alabama -3.5 (+105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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Troy at South Alabama picks and predictions
Prediction
South Alabama 27, Troy 17
Moneyline
PASS. South Alabama is worth a look at -155.
Against the spread
Troy has won 4 straight ATS in this series but expect some pushback in this one. The Trojans won ATS (+3.5) and straight-up last season, leveraging a pair of scoring drives that were fewer than 55 yards in a 31-24 win.
The Jaguars outgained Troy 335 yards to 308 in that contest. USA is the better red-zone squad at both ends of the field coming into this 2022 meeting.
BET SOUTH ALABAMA -3.5 (+105).
Over/Under
Some wind in the forecast could slow these teams down in the passing game. Both are quite good at defending the run, and field goals could loom large in the final result.
BACK THE UNDER 46.5 (-108).
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