Toronto Blue Jays at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Toronto Blue Jays at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Francisco Giants (45-48) welcome the Toronto Blue Jays (42-50) to Oracle Park Thursday for the finale of their 3-game series. First pitch is set for 3:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Giants lost to the Blue Jays 10-6 Wednesday, but did come out on top 4-3 on Tuesday.

The Giants have closed as a moneyline and run-line favorite in both games. San Francisco is just 1-3 in its last 4, having lost 2 of 3 on the road against the Cleveland Guardians in the series prior. The Giants are 26-20 at home and 45-48 against the spread (ATS).

The Blue Jays, who have won 3 of their last 4 games, have had their offense erupt, scoring 5 or more runs in each win. Toronto won 2 of 3 on the road against the Seattle Mariners in the series prior. It is just 3-4 over its last 7 though. The Blue Jays are 21-26 on the road and 44-48 ATS.

Blue Jays at Giants projected starters

RHP Kevin Gausman vs. RHP Jordan Hicks

Gausman (6-8, 4.64 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 97 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 2 ER (2 R), 6 H, 2 BB, 10 K in 2-1 road loss to the Seattle Mariners Friday
  • 2024 away splits: 5-3, 2.31 ERA (50 2/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.01 WHIP, 5 HR, 9.6 K/9 in 9 starts
  • Career vs. Giants: 0-2, 3.38 ERA (16 IP, 6 ER), 9 H, 0 HR, 9 BB, 27 K in 2 starts

Hicks (6-8, 4.64 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 90 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER (3 R), 8 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 3-1 road loss to the Atlanta Braves on July 3
  • 2024 home splits: 2-2, 3.12 ERA (49 IP, 17 ER), 1.06 WHIP, 6 HR, 6.8 K/9 in 9 starts
  • Career vs. Blue Jays: 0-2, 16.50 ERA (6 IP, 11 ER), 10 H, 1 HR, 11 BB, 4 K in 4 appearances (1 start)

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Blue Jays at Giants odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:06 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Giants -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+172) | Giants +1.5 (-210)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: -102)

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Blue Jays at Giants picks and predictions

Prediction

Giants 4, Blue Jays 3

Moneyline

BET GIANTS (-120).

The Blue Jays are 1-4 in Gausman’s last 5 starts, and they are just 3-4 over their last 7 games. Toronto hasn’t fared well on the road this season either. The Blue Jays are the 6th-worst team in the MLB following a win at 15-25, which they are here.

The Giants, who are 6-3 over their last 9 at home, have a solid starting option and have scored at least 4 runs in 6 straight games. Their offense has been consistent as well. At these odds, take GIANTS (-120).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Giants, as a run-line underdog, are far, far too expensive (-210) to take here, especially given how well Gausman has pitched on the road. However, the Blue Jays are too risky as a run-line favorite as well.

Ultimately, avoid a run line play.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-102).

The Giants have gone Under in 4 of their last 7 games. Even in 2 of those 3 in which the Over did hit, it only exceeded the projected total by 0.5 runs.

The Blue Jays, who are 44-46-2 O/U on the season, have gone Under in 3 of their last 6. They have struggled offensively, scoring 3 runs or fewer in 4 of their last 7 games and 5 runs or fewer in 6 of those 7. Gausman has 9 road starts and only 2 in which the Blue Jays have allowed more than 3.

While the Giants on the moneyline is the best play, also take UNDER 7.5 (-102) given the quality of pitchers taking the mound.

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