Toronto Blue Jays at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays (84-64) and Philadelphia Phillies (80-67) wrap up a 2-game set Wednesday at Citizens Bank Park. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Blue Jays lead 3-0

Blue Jays 3B Matt Chapman and RF Jackie Bradley Jr. both hit a HR in Toronto’s 18-11 win at the Phillies Tuesday. Toronto scored in every inning except the 4th and finished with 10 extra-base hits.

The Blue Jays have won 5 of 7 games and hold the top wild-card spot in the AL.

The Phillies are still 2 1/2 games ahead of the Milwaukee Brewers for the NL’s final wild-card spot after losing to Toronto Tuesday. Philadelphia LF Kyle Schwarber hit his NL-leading 40th HR of the season Tuesday and became the first Phillies player to hit 40 since retired 1B Ryan Howard in 2009.

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Blue Jays at Phillies projected starters

RHP Kevin Gausman vs. RHP Zack Wheeler

Gausman (12-10, 3.45 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 through 159 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 1 BB and 7 K vs. the Tampa Bay Rays Thursday
  • Won 4 of his last 5 decisions
  • Last start vs. Phillies: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 6 H, 4 BB and 5 K at Citizens Bank Park April 19, 2021, as a member of the San Francisco Giants
  • Career vs. Phillies: 1-3, 5.22 ERA (29 1/3 IP, 17 ER) in 5 starts and 1 relief appearance

Wheeler (11-7, 3.07 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 through 138 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 4 BB and 6 K vs. the New York Mets Aug. 20
  • Last start vs. Blue Jays: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 1 BB and 4 K July 13 at Rogers Centre
  • Career vs. Blue Jays: 0-2, 8.40 ERA (15 IP, 14 ER) in 3 starts

Blue Jays at Phillies odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Blue Jays -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Phillies -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+155) | Phillies +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Blue Jays at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 4, Phillies 3

Money line

BET BLUE JAYS (-105) ML.

Toronto’s offense has been too hot to fade lately, in part thanks to a 13-game hitting streak from Blue Jays 1B Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

The Phillies looked unfocused Tuesday with poor base running and fielding in their 5th straight loss. Expect these two teams to continue trending in opposite directions.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

This should be a lower-scoring game after Tuesday’s 18-11 offensive showcase. Toronto may have more trouble Wednesday winning by multiple runs.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-125).

Don’t overreact to Tuesday’s matchup going way over the total.

Gausman and Wheeler will both be focused to bounce back from their previous disappointing outings, while Toronto and Philadelphia’s offenses should regress toward the mean Wednesday after such a high-scoring affair.

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