The Toronto Blue Jays (39-34) and Miami Marlins (41-31) open a 3-game set Monday at loanDepot park. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting since 2021; Blue Jays won the 2021 season series 4-0
The Blue Jays lost 11-7 as +131 underdogs at the Texas Rangers Sunday despite jumping out to a 5-0 lead through 2 innings. Toronto has lost 6 of its last 9 games and is 4th in the AL East, 11 games behind the division-leading Tampa Bay Rays.
The Marlins won 4-2 as -148 favorites at the Washington Nationals Sunday. Miami has won 4 straight contests and is 5 games behind the Atlanta Braves for the lead in the NL East.
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Blue Jays at Marlins projected starters
RHP José Berríos vs. RHP Bryan Hoeing
Berríos (7-4, 3.28 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 85 innings.
- Last start: Win, 7 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 3-1 win at Baltimore Orioles Wednesday
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in his last 5 starts
- Only career start vs. Marlins: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 11 K in 7-4 road win as a member of Minnesota Twins on July 31, 2019
Hoeing (1-1, 3.12 ERA) makes his 3rd start and 17th appearance. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 26 innings.
- Last outing: No-decision, 2 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 2 K as a reliever in an 8-1 loss at Seattle Mariners last Monday
- First career appearance vs. Blue Jays
Blue Jays at Marlins odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:28 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Marlins +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+105) | Marlins +1.5 (-125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Blue Jays at Marlins picks and predictions
Prediction
Blue Jays 4, Marlins 3
Moneyline
The Blue Jays (-160) have not lost 3 straight games since their 5-game skid from May 18-22. Toronto should bounce back and beat Miami, but it’s being slightly overvalued on the ML. Bet the run line and/or the total instead.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
Toronto is 1-4 in its last 5 road games vs. right-handed starters and 4 of its last 5 wins have been by just 1 run. Miami has won its last 8 interleague home games and should be able to cover this run line in a low-scoring matchup.
BET MIAMI +1.5 (-125).
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Over/Under
Berríos has allowed 3 or fewer earned runs in 8 straight starts. Toronto’s offense has been underwhelming lately and has scored more than 3 runs in just 1 of its last 5 games. The Under has hit in 4 of Toronto’s last 5 games and should cash again Monday as Berríos (1.37 ERA across 3 starts in June) continues to keep games low-scoring.
BET UNDER 8.5 (-115).
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