The Toronto Blue Jays (37-30) begin a 3-game series with the Baltimore Orioles (41-24) Tuesday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is at 7:05 ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Orioles lead 3-0
The AL East is daunting this season. There are multiple divisions where both team’s current record would put them in 1st place. Alas, Baltimore is 5.5 games behind the Tampa Bay Rays and the Blue Jays are 10.5 back.
Both teams won their last game. The Orioles swept the Kansas City Royals with an impressive 11-3 victory on Sunday. The Blue Jays avoided a sweep with a 7-6 win against the Al Central-leading Minnesota Twins. But division games have been an Achilles heel for Toronto who will need to right that ship as soon as possible.
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Blue Jays at Orioles projected starters
RHP Chris Bassitt vs. RHP Dean Kremer
Bassitt (7-4, 3.29 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 82 innings.
- Last start: Win, 8 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 B, 5 K in a 3-2 win vs. the Houston Astros Wednesday.
- Allows .244 BA when the batter is ahead in the count.
Kremer (6-3, 4.89 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 70 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 6 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 5 K in an 10-2 road loss vs. the Milwaukee Brewers
- Allows .333 average when the batter swings at the first pitch, .270 when they don’t.
Blue Jays at Orioles odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 10:20 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Orioles +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+120) | Orioles +1.5 (-145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Blue Jays at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Blue Jays 3, Orioles 2
Moneyline
The AL East is a scary division this year, but Baltimore has an 11-6 division record vs. Toronto’s 6-15. But that hides that fact that the Blue Jays are a better team than their record indicates. They have the 2nd-best non-division record in baseball at 31-15.
The line is juicy, but I don’t like Toronto to cover so I will stick with the moneyline. LEAN BLUE JAYS -140.
Run line/Against the spread
Toronto is just 16-20 ATS after a win and 31-36 overall. I see more value betting Toronto to win straight up then taking them against the spread. PASS.
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Over/Under
Coming off a win Baltimore is a toss up in the totals market (19-19-2), but Toronto trends toward the Under (20-14-2). Combine that with that fact that Baltimore leans Under in Camden Yards (17-13-2). I see a low scoring game.
BET UNDER 8.5 (+100).
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